#1Save the Children Save the Children HEASAHEL household economy approach analyse de l'économie des ménages USAID ERNATIONAL Outcome Analysis Presentation Nigeria February 2020 AGENCY DEVELOPMEN USAID ÈD PÈP AMERIKEN#2Expected Results (2/2) 2. To identify the socio-economic group(s) affected by survival or livelihoods protection deficits ③. To identify, for an area, the seasonality of the deficit for an affected group in a consumption year Period of Deficit Bama, Nigeria, Very Poor category % min. food energy needs 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% ON D J F M A M J J A S о N deficit total expenditure Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Festabry 2020 60#3Areas covered under the Previous Livelihood zone Map N Benin NGI NGOD Lagos NGOW NG02 Sokoto NGIO NGOS Niger Abuja NG03 NGM Port Harcourt NG13 NGOS NGHI NGOS NGUS NG04 NG03 NG02 NG02. INGOW NGH NGTO ING13 Malduguri NG NGHI MAM NG 09 NGOT NG09 Cameroon Save the Children I Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020 10 bad#4Areas covered under the 2018 updated Livelihood zone Map FEWS NET NGOI NG06 Benin NG12 NG29 NG13 NGII NG02 NG03 NIGERIA - LIVELIHOOD ZONES Niger NG04 NG07 NG08 NGIO NGOS NG14 NG16 NG18 N634 NG19 O Abuja NG17 NG20 NG35 NG245 USAID FROM THE AMERICAN PEOPLE Chad NG09 NG01 Sokoto millet, cowpeas, groundnuts, and livestock NG02- Kano-Katsina sahelian: millet, sorghum, sesame, and livestock ING03 Kano-Katsina sudanian: sorghum, maize, rice, and groundnuts ING04 - North-east sahelian: millet, sesame, cowpeas, and livestock. NG05 Borno-Yobe-Bauchi millet, cowpeas, groundnuts, and sesame NG06-Sokoto-Rima-Kano riverine flood plain rice and fishing NG07- Komadugu-Yobe irrigated peppers with rice, millet, and vegetables NG08 Lake Chad fishing, maize, wheat, cowpeas, and vegetables NG09 - Chad Basin: masakwa flood-recession sorghum and wheat NG10-Hadeija-Nguru wetlands: mixed cereals, vegetables, and fishing NG11 North-west sorghum, maize, soybeans, and rice NG12- North-west sorghum, maize and cotton with cross-border trade ING13 North-west and central maize dominant, with sorghum, sweet potatoes, and cowpeas NG14- Central sorghum, maize, groundnuts, cowpeas, and sesame NG15-North-east maize dominant with rice, cowpeas, soybeans, and groundnuts NG16-High plateau Irish potatoes, maize, acha (Digitaria), and livestock ING17 Lower plateau rice, sorghum, and cattle NG18- Ginger and turmeric with maize, sorghum, yams, and acha (Digitaria) NG19 - Benue river sugar cane, rice, and sugar estate labor NG20 Central yams and maize belt, with cassava, rice, and soybeans NG21 - Niger and Benue rivers flood plain rice with maize, vegetables, and livestock NG22-Cassava dominant with maize, yams, and tree-crops NG23-Citrus fruits with tubers, cereals, soybeans, and groundnuts NG24 Cocoa dominant with oil palm, cereals, and tubers NG25- Mambila highland: cattle, maize, Irish potatoes, tea, coffee, and kola nut NG26 Cross river cocoa with oil palm, tubers, rice, and plantain NG27 - South-east rice dominant with cassava, yams, and oil palm NG28 South-west cocoa with oil palm, tubers, and cereals ING29 South-west rice, cassava, and cattle with cross-border trade ING30 Cashews with oil palm, tubers, and maize ING31 Lagos Peri-urban: fishing, poultry, piggeries, market gardening, and coconuts NG32- Coastal strip and Niger Delta: fishing, cassava, plantain, oil palm, and rubber NG33-South-east cassava, cereals, and oil palm with extensive off-farm work and trade NG34 North-east cattle, small ruminants, and food crops with cross-border livestock trade NG35 Niger-Benue rivers fishing and food crops Commercial sugarcane estates within NG19 NG28 NG30 NG23 NGS NG25 ° Capital Cameroon NGZZ NG31 NG32 NG26 NG27 99 NG33 125 250 500 Kilometers Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Towns Water Bodies National Parks February 2020#5Map of Nigeria showing Outcome Analysis February result Sokoto Katsina Zamfara Kebbi Jigawa Kano Gombe NIGERIA Kaduna Bauchi Niger Plateau Kwara Federal Capital Territory Nassarawa Oyo Ekiti Kogi Osun Benue Ondo Ogun Lagos Edo Enugu Anambra Ebony Cross Rive Delta Imo Abis Rivers Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa Taraba Adamawa Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020#6Livelihood Zone and Areas Covered Livelihood Zones Millet & Sesame LZ (MAS) States LGA Cotton Groundnut & Cowpea LZ (CGC) Zamfara Sorghum Cowpeas & Groundnut LZ Katsina Baure, Daura, Dutsi, Sandamu, Mashi & Zango Bungudu, Gusau, Maru & Tsafe Zamfara Anka, Bukkuyum & Gumi (SCG) Northern Floodplain Irrigated Rice Jigawa Wheat & Vegetables LZ (NGII) Auyo, Guri, Hadejia, Kafin Hausa, Kaugama, Kiri Kassama, Miga, Malam Madori Sahel Mixed Cereals & Livestock LZ (NG13) Jigawa Millet Cowpeas & Sesame LZ Bauchi (MCS)(NG12) Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ Bauchi (MSC)(NG10) North Central Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (NG10) Borno Northeast Millet Cowpea & Sesame (NG12) Borno Babura, Birniwa, Dutse, Dagarawa, Garki, Gwiwa, Gumel, Jahun, Kazaure, Kiyawa, Maigatari, Malam Madori, Ringim, Roni, Sule Tankarkar, Taura, Yankwashi Misau, Katagum, Gaide, Gamawa, Darazo & Damban Alkaleri, Bogoro, Dass, Gamjuwa, Ningi, Toro & Tafawa Balewa Abadam, Askira Uba, Biu, Chibok, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, Mobbar, Shani Bama, Damboa, Dikwa, Gubio, Gwoza, Jere, Kaga, Kalabalge, Konduga, Mafa, Magumeri, Marte, Maiduguri, Monguno, Ngala Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020 10#7Livelihood Zone and Areas Covered Livelihood Zones States LGA North-East Sahelian: Millet, Sesame, Bursari, Jakusko, Yusufari, Nguru, Karasuwa, Machina and Yobe Cowpeas and Livestock LZ (NG04) Yunusari Borno-Yobe-Bauchi; Millet, Cowpeas, Fika, Potiskum, Fune, Nangere, Damaturu and Tarmuwa Groundut and Sesame LZ (NG05) Yobe North-East Maize dominant with rice, Gujba Yobe Cowpeas, Soya beans and Groundnut LZ (NG15) Gulani Borno Urban Livelihood Zone Borno MMC, Jere, Konduga, Mafa, Magumeri & Ngala Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020 11#8Data sources Key Parameter Crop Production Market Price Livestock Production Other Income Sources (Price) Other Income Sources (Access) Source Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture Agricultural Development Programme (ADP)- Ministry of Agriculture FEWSNET NAERLS Market key informant Village Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants Livestock Market Key Informants Key informants/ Consensus among workshop participants Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020 12#9Team Composition The analysis team comprised of members from: . • • • • • • • NEMA (National Emergency Management Agency) NAERLS- National Agric. Extension & Research Liaison Services Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development State Ministry of Agriculture Yobe state Min. of Budget and economic Planning Representatives of ADP from States Zamfara State Min of Budget and Economic planning National Programme for Food Security (NPFS) Save the Children State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA) Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020 13#10Result Summary The period or consumption year covered by the current analysis is September 2019-August 2020 for the ten livelihood zones as projected. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation February 2020 14#11Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only CGC Zamfara District population ZME Type ZME GSE GSE District population GSE popualation Livelihood protection of the ZME living in the Deficit Livelihood Survival protection proportion of Deficit (%LPD) (in% kcal) Deficit ZME compared Deficit Survival (in% kcal) (%LPD) district to district VP 91,928 26% 0% 0% 100% 34% 91,928 26% 12% 0% 100% 32% Bungudu 353,571 NGCGC AGRICULTURAL M 91,928 26% 0% 0% 23% 0% BF 77,786 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 136,381 26% 0% 0% 73% 35% 136,381 26% 0% 0% 89% 23% Gusau 524,541 NGCGC AGRICULTURAL M 136,381 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 115,399 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 104,190 26% 0% 0% 100% 39% 104,190 26% 19% 0% 100% 32% Maru 400729 NGCGC AGRICULTURAL M 104,190 26% 0% 0% 23% 0% BF 88,160 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 94,873 26% 0% 0% 100% 39% 94,873 26% 19% 0% 100% 32% Tsafe 364896 NGCGC AGRICULTURAL M 94,873 26% 0% 0% 23% 0% BF 80,277 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 15#12Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd... SCG Zamfara District population ZME Type ZME GSE District GSE population GSE popualation Livelihood protection of the ZME living in the Deficit Livelihood Survival protection proportion of Deficit (%LPD) (in% Kcal) ZME compared Deficit Survival Deficit (in% Kcal) (%LPD) district to district VP 48,108 33% 0% 0% 33% 18% 28,452 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% Anka 143637 SCG AGRICULTURAL M 32,713 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 34,363 24% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 72,461 33% 0% 0% 33% 18% Bukkuyu 42,856 20% 0% 0% 3% 0% 216348 SCG AGRICULTURAL m M 49,274 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 51,758 24% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 69,237 33% 0% 0% 33% 18% 40,949 20% 0% 0% 3% 0% Gumi 206721 SCG AGRICULTURAL M 47,081 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 49,455 24% 0% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 16#13Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd ... NG10 Borno District population ZME Type ZME GSE District GSE population GSE popualation Livelihood protection of the ZME Deficit Livelihood Survival protection proportion of Deficit (%LPD) (in% kcal) Deficit Survival living in the ZME compared Deficit (%LPD) (in% Kcal) district to district VP 246 25% 33% 4% 100% 49% 272 27% 0% 0% 100% 51% Abadam 1000 NG10 AGRICULTURAL M 254 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% Mobbar 153834 NG10 AGRICULTURAL BF 228 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 37,821 25% 16% 0% 100% 43% 41,873 27% 0% 0% 100% 47% M 39,021 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 35,119 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 17#14Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd... NG12 Borno District population ZME Type ZME GSE District GSE population GSE population Livelihood proportion of protection Deficit Livelihood Survival protection Deficit Survival of the ZME ZME compared Deficit (%LPD) (in% Kcal) Deficit (in% Kcal) living in the to district (%LPD) district VP 69,619 38% 0% 0% 33% 23% P 48,061 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bama 182947 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 39,161 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 26,107 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 57,696 38% 0% 0% 33% 22% 39,830 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Damboa 151616 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 32,454 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 21,636 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 43,413 38% 0% 0% 67% 30% D 29,970 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Dikwa 114082 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 24,420 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 16,280 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 71,484 38% 0% 0% 67% 34% P 49,348 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gubio 187849 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 40,210 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 26,807 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 75,995 38% 0% 0% 67% 34% P 52,462 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gwoza 199702 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 42,747 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 28,498 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 18#15Summary of current and projected result by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd ... NG12 Borno Continued... District population ZME Type ZME GSE GSE GSE population Livelihood Deficit Livelihood Deficit District population of| proportion of protection the ZME living ZME compared to Deficit (%LPD) in the district district Kcal) Deficit Survival (in% protection Survival (in% Kcal) (%LPD) VP 26,236 38% 0% 0% 67% 35% P 18,112 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Kalabalge 68944 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 14,758 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 9,838 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 48,958 38% 0% 0% 67% 31% 33,798 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Mafa 128654 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 27,539 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 18,359 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 97,697 38% 0% 0% 33% 26% 67,444 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Magumeri 256733 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 54,955 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 36,636 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 79,463 38% 0% 0% 67% 36% D 54,856 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Mongono 208815 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 44,698 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 29,798 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 38,700 38% 0% 0% 67% 30% 26,716 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ngala 101697 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 21,769 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 14,512 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 19#16Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd ... NG12 Borno Continued... District population ZME Type ZME District GSE GSE population GSE population Livelihood proportion of protection Deficit Survival Livelihood protection Deficit Survival of the ZME ZME compared Deficit (%LPD) (in% kcal) Deficit (in% Kcal) living in the to district (%LPD) district Kaga 132650 NG12 AGRICULTURAL VP 50,479 38% 0% 0% 33% 9% 34,848 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% M 28,394 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 18,930 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 71,586 38% 0% 0% 33% 6% 49,419 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Konduga 188117 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 40,267 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 26,845 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 20#17Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd ... Borno Urban LZ (Host) States District population ZME Type ZME GSE GSE GSE popualation District population of the ZME living in the proportion of ZME compared to district Livelihood Deficit protection Survival Deficit (%LPD) | (in% Kcal) Livelihood Deficit protection Survival (in% Deficit Kcal) (%LPD) district VP 23,754 30% 44% 0% 44% 0% IP 29,297 37% 33% 0% 33% 0% Konduga NG12 AGRICULTURAL 79,180 M 17,420 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 7,918 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 24,942 30% 44% 0% 44% 0% P 30,761 37% 33% 0% 33% 0% Mafa NG12 AGRICULTURAL 83,139 M 18,291 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% Borno BF 8,314 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% (HOST) VP 37,794 30% 44% 0% 44% 0% IP 46,612 37% 33% 0% 33% 0% Magumeri NG12 AGRICULTURAL 125,979 M 27,715 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 12,598 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 15,521 30% 44% 0% 44% 0% IP 19,143 37% 33% 0% 33% 0% Ngala NG10 AGRICULTURAL 51,737 M 11,382 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 5,174 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 21#18Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd... Borno Urban LZ (IDPs) States District population ZME Type ZME GSE District GSE population of the ZME living in the GSE population proportion of protection Survival ZME compared Deficit (%LPD) | (in% Kcal) to district Livelihood Deficit Livelihood Deficit protection Survival (in% Deficit (%LPD) Kcal) district VP 76,784 30% 49% 0% 49% 0% Maiduguri (MMC) P 84,462 33% 0% 0% 0% 0% 255,945 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 66,546 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 28,154 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 75,132 30% 49% 0% 49% 0% P 82,645 33% 0% 0% 0% 0% Jere 250,439 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 65,114 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 27,548 11% 0% 0% 0% VP 40,111 30% 100% 2% 100% P 44,122 33% 49% 0% 49% 020 0% 2% 0% Konduga 133,704 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 34,763 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% Borno (IDP) BF 14,707 11% 0% 0% 0% VP 3,761 30% 100% 2% 100% P 4,137 33% 49% 0% 49% 020 0% 2% 0% Mafa 12,535 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 3,259 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 1,379 11% 0% 0% 0% VP 7,933 30% 100% 2% 100% Magumer P 8,726 33% 49% 0% 49% 020 0% 2% 0% 26,442 NG12 AGRICULTURAL M 6,875 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 2,909 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 19,028 30% 100% 2% 100% 2% P 20,931 33% 49% 0% 49% 0% Ngala 63,426 NG10 AGRICULTURAL M 16,491 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 6,977 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 22#19Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd... Yobe NG04 LZ District population ZME Type ZME GSE GSE GSE population Livelihood District population of proportion of ZME protection the ZME living| compared to Deficit (%LPD) Kcal) in the district district Deficit Livelihood Survival (in% protection Deficit (%LPD) Deficit Survival (in% Kcal) Yunusari 125940 NG04 AGRICULTURAL Bursari 109692 NG04 AGRICULTURAL VP 17,632 14% 33% 4% 79% 43% 42,820 34% 0% 0% 67% 20% M 37,782 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 28,966 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 15,357 14% 33% 9% 0% 0% 37,295 34% 0% 0% 0% 6% IM 32,908 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 25,229 23% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 23 0%#20Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd ... Yobe NG05 LZ District population ZME Type ZME GSE GSE GSE population Livelihood District population of proportion of ZME protection the ZME living compared to Deficit (%LPD) Kcal) in the district district Deficit Livelihood Survival (in% protection Deficit (%LPD) Deficit Survival (in% Kcal) VP 13,204 17% 33% 3% 67% 33% Tarmuwa 77667 NG05 AGRICULTURAL 24,077 31% 0% 0% 67% 29% M 23,300 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 17,087 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 23,245 17% 21% 0% 33% 4% IP 42,388 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% Fika 136736 NG05 AGRICULTURAL M 41,021 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 30,082 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 34,827 17% 17% 0% 30% 0% 63,509 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% Potiskum 204866 NG05 AGRICULTURAL M 61,460 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 45,071 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 24#21Summary of current and projected results by Livelihood zones showing areas with deficit only Cont'd ... Yobe NG15 LZ District population ZME Type ZME GSE GSE GSE population Livelihood Deficit Livelihood Deficit District population of proportion of ZME protection Survival (in% protection Survival (in% the ZME living| compared to Deficit (%LPD) Kcal) Deficit Kcal) in the district district (%LPD) Gujba 129797 NG15 AGRICULTURAL Gulani 103516 NG15 AGRICULTURAL VP 37,641 29% 0% 0% 33% 36% 36,343 28% 0% 0% 0% 0% M 29,853 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 25,959 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% VP 30,020 29% 0% 0% 18% 33% 28,985 28% 0% 0% 0% 0% IM 23,809 23% 0% 0% 0% 0% BF 20,703 20% 0% 0% 0% Outcome Analysis Result Presentation Save the Children October 2020 25 0%#22Result summary Continue Households facing survival deficit are unable to meet their daily food needs and would require external assistance to meet their food needs during the deficit period, while households facing livelihood protection deficit would require external assistance to meet their livelihood needs, this will also prevent the use high cost coping mechanism. Households not facing deficits would be able to access both food and cash income required to meet their normal food and non food needs within the projected period. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 26#23Quantification of Food Needs in Areas of Deficits State Livelihood Zone Beneficiaries In need of Support Borno North Central Maize Sorghum & Cotton LZ (NG10) 92,662 Borno Northest Millet Cowpea & Sesame LZ (NG12) Borno Borno Urban LZ Food needs in Metric Tonnes 5,926 820,595 15,479 557,459 25,492 Yobe North-East sahelian: Millet, Sesame, Cowpeas and Livestock LZ (NG04 ||1,999 1,952 Yobe Borno-Yobe-Bauchi; Millet, Cowpeas, 175,724 3,889 Groundut and Sesame LZ (NG05) Yobe North-East Maize dominant with rice, 104,508 2,758 Cowpeas, Soya beans and Groundnut LZ (NG15) Zamfara NW Cotton Groundnut & Mixed Cereals LZ (CGC) 1,217,582 107,456 Zamfara Sorghum Cowpeas & Groundnut LZ (SCG) 374,029 4,649 Total 3,454,558 167,601 Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 27#24Analysing Hard to Reach/Inaccessible Areas Analysing the key parameter data collected from the field brings together ranges of stakeholders from relevant federal and state government line ministries and FEWSNET to be able provide quality problem specification that reflect the true picture and the projection. of the situation based on the knowledge of the area in study. Trained participants collected information of changes on Agricultural production, Livestock, Labor and Market in 4 different villages per livelihood zone. Secondary data on production and market prices was collected on from Agricultural Development Programs (ADP) of various state, FEWSNET and National Agricultural Extension and Liaison Services (NAERLS) to triangulate the data that was collected from the villages in each Livelihood zones. We've also contacted the REACH team (ACTED) who have been traveling to the hard to reach areas of Borno state to provide information of inaccessible areas. In the quest to seek for alternative means of assessing the hard to reach areas the team contacted Dr Badamasi a GIS expert from the department of geology (Bayero University Kano, Nigeria) to use GIS and satellite imagery to show if farming activity has taken place in the given locations but time couldn't allow us finalize the process. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 28#25Analysing Hard to Reach/Inaccessible Areas Abadam The local government is completely deserted with some its people living in the fringes of Niger (Bosso, Gashikar Lake Cash general area) and most of its residence in other LGAs within Borno such as Monguno, Jere, Nganzai, (both host and IDPs camps). (Borno ADP & SEMA). Scanty information from Garin Wanzam, Kinchayande, Gaggam and Tumur village of Niger, 47 kilometer away from Malafatori, Abadam LGA headquarters. In addition to that according to Mallam Babagana Ajut, whom three (3) days back as of the time the assessment was conducted came from Garin Wanzam said there is NO residents in Abadam most of its citizensare staying in either Malafotori or villages around only military and civilian joint task force are inhibiting this location. (Mal. Babagana Ajut New arrival). There was a publication on the 15th/02/2020 by the PUNCH revealing that the Borno state government visited Abadam local government headquarters. Evident of photos from the news shows that the headquarter is deserted with its secretariat and other administrative structures demolished. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 29#26Analysing Hard to Reach/Inaccessible Areas Cont'd... MARTE Marte is deserted no record of people living there only military personnel's. Therefore, no agricultural and commercial activities is taking place. There is information of people from the LGAs settling in the fringes of Lake Chad under the control and influence of Arm Opposition Group (AOG) and are not accessible by the government according to some indigenes of Marte living in an identified IDP camps within Maiduguri. (SEMA Borno) Marte was therefore not analyse In the current analysis Details of the food and livelihood security situations of the two LGAs is contained on the HEA Outcome analysis summary result sheets and the Report. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 30#27Challenges • • . Some locations has continued to be inaccessible due to insecurity. False information by despondence with the aim of receiving aid. Non responsive by some market traders, reason was each time there is a trading contract with the NGOs it doesn't come to them. Delay in getting response on inaccessible areas. Lack of essential time/resources to conduct GIS analysis on inaccessible areas. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 31#28Conclusion Rainfall was well established and evenly distributed in the 2019 season, although flood was witnessed and with relatively good supply of inputs. Drop in price of cash crop (cowpea) is due to low demand by major buyers related to the use of harmful chemicals during storage. of farm product. This has greatly reduce famers income, some of them were able to switch to planting alternative cash crops like sesame and groundnut. Although there are several humanitarian interventions in Borno (northeast Nigeria) by partners, INGOs, CBOs and UN related organizations some households still face food insecurity within the LGAs as some communities remain hard to reach or inaccessible following the persistence of security challenges within the region. In this regard the team was not able to include Marte in the current analysis as information reaching us from REACH, representatives from Borno state (SEMA, NEMA and ADP) and IPDs who recently came from areas close to Marte indicates that there are no persons living in this location. Very poor and the very poor households in some LGAs in Borno state would require support to meet their non food needs. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 32#29Conclusion Cont'd Persistent armed bandits attacks in CGC & SCG LZ (Zamfara state), resulting to kidnapping/killing in some communities has significantly affected activities within the zone and the entire state of Zamfara, this activity has continued to affect neighbouring state katsina and if this continues the very poor and poor HHS might be affected and would not be able to provide its basic food and non food requirement. Analysis shows that the very poor and the poor with few number of the middle households in Zamafara would not be able to provide for their food and basic needs for survival without external assistance. Arms opposition groups (AOG) has continued to intensify attacks on communities in Yobe state especially in communities bordering Borno state. Farmers were restricted to planting short stem crops only on a limited farmlands. Not all farmers were able to harvest their produce even after experiencing a peaceful planting session. The very poor and poor households would not be able to provide their food and basic needs for survival without external assistance. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 33#30Recommendation . • • Government to intensify efforts to improve the security situation in Nigeria. Focus on developing interventions to improve resilience among the vulnerable households. Continuous monitoring of the security situation as well as staple food prices as the lean. season progresses. Interventions are needed within other livelihood zones with projected deficits to ensure adequate protection of households, vulnerable livelihoods and survival, as this would prevent the adoption of negative coping strategies. Need to provide support to the farmers on preservation of crops especially tomatoes, onions, pepper, Vegetables, etc. As well as continuous Government support to boosting crop production. Government to provide funding for more coverage of the HEA baseline and subsequent outcome analysis in Nigeria. • There is a need to update the analyses in order to consider the Impact of COVID 19 Adopt the use of GIS and Remote sensing to collect data in an inaccessible areas based on the security recommendation especially in the North east where insecurity is heightened. Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 34#31Household Economy Analysis (HEA) HEASAHEL household economy approach analyse de l'économie des ménages For more information on HEA please visit www.hea-sahel.org Save the Children Outcome Analysis Result Presentation October 2020 35#32THANK YOU Save the Children