#1LESLIE Federal Government HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT Presence in Newfoundland and Labrador November 2005 Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#2I. Introduction ■ Motivation ■ Our Focus ■ Methodology !!! Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#3Motivation ■ Many concerns expressed about the decline in Federal Presence in the Province over the past decade Royal Commission on Renewing and Strengthening our Place in Canada ■City of St. John's Government of Newfoundland and Labrador Local Media ■ General Public !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#4Our Focus ■ The Federal Government's Presence takes many forms. Our focus is on: Employment Spending on goods and services ■ Provincial involvement in Federal decision-making ■ Our time frame (1981-2004, with emphasis on the 1990s) Fisheries moratoriums, high unemployment and population loss !!! Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#5Methodology ■ Quantitative analysis. Shows changes in Federal involvement in the provinces over time ◉ Statistics Canada ■ Newfoundland Statistics Agency ■ Qualitative analysis Provides context and insight into the changes Discussions with Federal & Provincial employees and other interested parties ■ Media reports ◉ Press releases Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#6II. Highlights of Results ■ Federal Employment ■ Employment and Population ■ Changes in Employment ■ Executive Employment ■ Military Presence ■ Wages and Salaries ■ Federal Expenditures ■ Qualitative Evidence !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#7Federal Employment Down 25% since 1981: Down 32% since 1993 Number of People 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 Figure 4 Federal Government Employment Newfoundland and Labrador, 1981-2004 0 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Year 98 9 1 99 00 01 02 Source: Statistics Canada, Public Sector Employment, Table 183-0002. !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland 63 03 04 HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#8NL's Share of Federal Employment Figure 6 Federal Government Employment in Newfoundland & Labrador as a Percentage of Total Federal Employment, 1981 - 2004 Percent 2.5 1.5 0.5 0 1 2 3 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Year Source: Statistics Canada, Public Sector Employment, Table 183-0002. Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#9Employment Shares Across Provinces 6 4 2 Figure 7 Difference between Provinces' Share of Federal Employment and Share of National Population, 5 year averages, 1981-2004 0 NL PE NS NB QC ON MN BC -2 -4 -6 -8 81-85 86-90 91-95 96-0001-04 Source: Statistics Canada, Population, Table 51-0001 and Public Sector Employment, Table 183-0002 !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#10Executive Employment Table 2: Executive and Equivalent Positions, 1997-2004 Year NL PE NS NB QU ON MB SK AB BC 1997 55 55 203 86 1317 3784 143 100 245 392 1998 50 61 207 95 1294 3977 144 104 262 392 1999|58 71 221 98 1347 4067 141 112 263 406 2000|60 74 228 102 1465 4337 153 117 291 446 2001 66 75 259 119 1638 4797 175 128 330 475 2002 68 72 274 119 1722 5284 188 143 347 520 2003 72 74 278 128 1843 5557 5557 199 162 370 554 2004 76 74 290 127 1873 5642 204 171 379 574 Table 3: Number of Executives in Newfoundland and Labrador as a Percent of Total Executive Employment, 1997-2004 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Years 1997 1998 1999 '97-'04 0.85% 0.75% 0.85% 0.82% 0.81% 0.77% 0.77% 0.81% Source: Treasury Board Secretariat, Government of Canada. ''Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#11Military Presence Figure 8 Military Personnel, Newfoundland & Labrador, 1981-2004 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 T I ☐ T ד T 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Source: Statistics Canada, Department of National Defence, Table 183-0004. !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#12NL's Share of Federal Wages & Salaries 2.5 Figure 12 Federal Government Wages as a Percent of Total Newfoundland & Labrador, Adjusted for Inflation, 1981-2004 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Year Source: Statistics Canada, Public Sector Employment, Table 183-0004. !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#13Average Wages & Salaries Figure 13 Federal Government Wages & Salaries per Federal Employee Newfoundland & Labrador and Canada, Adjusted for Inflation, 1981-2004 $ per employee annually $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Year 4 CANL Source: Statistics Canada, Public Sector Employment, Table 183-0004. !!!Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#14Other Results ■ Share of Federal Government spending on goods and services is less than it was in 1981 and has followed a downward trend since 1996 Qualitative evidence suggests: Lack of regional offices Ongoing closures, e.g. closure of PSC office ■ Sector specific concerns, e.g. Chair of Fisheries research, Gander Weather Office Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT#15Conclusion ■ The number of Federal government jobs in the Province has dropped by 25% since 1981 ■ NL's share of Federal employment has declined Relatively few Executive level positions in NL ■ Average earnings per Federal employee is below national average ■ NL's share of Federal expenditures on goods and services has declined ■ Continued concerns over closures and downsizing of Federal offices in specific areas Memorial University of Newfoundland HarrisCentre THE LEGUE HARRIS CENTRE OF REGIONAL POLICY AND DEVELOPMENT