Scotiabank Investor Presentation
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Mexican Economy
Solid mix of sectors
Services and consumption are increasingly
contributing to the domestic economy's
recovery
Trade with the U.S. is leading growth, but
Mexico's diversification agenda is also
underpinned by 13 free-trade agreements with
50 countries that account for 43% of global
GDP and include all G7 countries
The authorities' fiscal and debt indicators
remain reasonable; efforts to boost tax
collection could continue to be implemented
GDP 2022F: 2.3%
GDP 2023F:
1.0%
GDP 2024F:
1.9%
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg, as of Nov 4, 2022.
Contributions to Mexican GDP Growth
Other
MEXICAN GDP
16.5%
Finance, Insurance,
& Real Estate
13.4%
6.2%
Health & Education
18.8%
Wholesale &
Retail Trade
16.6%
Manufacturing
6.3%
Mining and Oil
& Gas Extraction
6.0%
Construction
3.4%
Natural
Resources
6.9%
Transportation
& Warehousing
2.1%
BY INDUSTRY*
(Q2-2022)
Professional,
Scientific,
& Technical
Services
3.8%
Public
Administration
* Q3-2022 real GDP growth 4.2 y/y. Industry GDP breakdown is not yet available for Q3-2022.
Top Trading Partners*
24
y/y % change
20
16
Other*
Inventories
12
Government
8
Real GDP
4
Net Exports
Investment
Consumption
-4
-8
-12
-16
-20
19
18
*Statistical discrepancy, subject to revision.
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics.
20
21
22
South Korea 2%
Others
15%
Canada 4%
United
States
EU 8%
60%
China
11%
* Q3-2022 real GDP growth 4.2% y/y. National accounts breakdown not yet available for Q2-2022.
* Trade data updated as of Q2-2022.
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