Investor Presentaiton
Cropping
Planted Area
Thousand hectares
(0%
2016-17
2017-18f
2018-19f
12.2
12.6
| 12.2
+3%
+8%
4.0 3.9 4.0
2.4 2.7 3.0
-17%
0.6 0.5 0.4
Wheat
Barley
Canola
Cotton
"
■
■
In 2018-19 the planted area of wheat is expected to remain unchanged in
response to low world prices, while the planted area for barley, oats, canola
and sorghum is expected to increase, following increased profitability.
In 2018-19 the cotton planted area is expected to decrease further driven by
a fall in the average water level of public irrigation dams servicing cotton
growing regions.
Australian grain production is expected to lift in 2018-19, driven by an
increase in yields, while global grain prices are expected to lift marginally in
2018-19, due to a decline in global supplies.
In 2018-19, returns to Australian cotton growers at the gin-gate are forecast
to remain relatively flat due to an abundant world production capacity
keeping prices low.
Prices
Production
Million Tonnes
A$/tonne
63
650
(7%)
600
46
45
550
43
41
41
42
Other
500
Wheat
Canola
Malting Barley
Gin gate price
Chickpeas
350
Canola
300
Other grains
250
Barley
200
Wheat
150
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017 2018f 2019f
12
13
14
15
16
17
18f
19f
Elders
Source: ABARES Agricultural Commodities Outlook, March 2018
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