American Jewish Population Project - Pennsylvania Report

American Jewish Population Project PA-4 District Profile PA-4 is home to the largest Jewish population in the state and is represented by Madeleine Dean (D). The incumbent was expected to retain her seat ahead of the 2020 House election and the district was considered likely to go for Joe Biden in the presidential election. As anticipated, both races were called for the Democratic Candidates. PA-4 spans the majority of Montgomery County and is home to ~54,000 Jewish adults, accounting for ~10% of the state's overall electorate. The vast majority (~96%) of Jewish adults in PA-4 reside in 34 ZIP Codes in the eastern half of the district, encompassing the communities of Willow Grove, Glenside, Ambler, Blue Bell, Norristown, King of Prussia, Collegeville, and Harleysville among others. Election Results: PA-4 2016 Presidential 2018 Congressional 57.9% 63.5% 38.5% 36.5% R D R D 2020 Presidential 2020 Congressional 62.1% 59.5% 36.8% 40.5% R D R D The majority of the PA-4 Jewish electorate identifies with or leans toward the Democratic Party (69%), and a plurality identifies as liberal (44%). 19505 18041 18073 16503 18076 18054 -96% of Jewish adults in this district reside in 34 Eastern ZIP Codes* just outside of Philadelphia. 19472 10074 TR545 19435 19525 10464 10402 19438 10473 19426 10468 10403 19401 10422 19482 19405 19428 1900219044 Philadelphia * Eastern ZIP Codes: 19001, 19002, 19006, 19009, 19012, 19025, 19027, 19031, 19034, 19038, 19040, 19044, 19046, 19075, 19090, 19095, 19422, 19436, 19437, 19444, 19477, 19004, 19035, 19066, 19072, 19401, 19403, 19405, 19406, 19426, 19428, 19438, 19456, 19462. 10% of the voting-age population is Jewish Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative 44% 40% 16% 54,000 Jewish Adults Partisan Identification 96% of the Jewish electorate lives in 34 ZIP Codes in the East Age 23% 18-34 56% 13% 9% 17% 26% 35-64 69% Democrat & Lean Democrat 3% Independent/ No lean 26% Republican & Lean Republican+ 51% 65+ Brandeis † Interpret data with caution. The coefficient of variation (CV) for the "lean" political estimate is greater than 30%. STEINHARDT SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE 6

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