Investor Presentaiton
Return
Sovereign Bonds (OFZ): macro and EM debt
10Y Yields, %
15
12
9
6
3
0
Nominal Yield
Real Yield
Indonesia
Brazil
South Africa
India
Malaysia
Expected Return / Risk
10,0
90
Mexico
Colombia
Russia
Nigeria
Chile
Vietnam
Philippines
China
South Korea
Brazil
South Africa
9,0
Russia
8,0
India
Indonesia
7,0
Mexico
Colombia
6,0
5,0
4,0
Malaysia
3,0
2,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
18,0
Debt (public) to GDP
84
11
10
9
80
7
65
5
Yield
Russia 10 Y OFZ
Bloomberg Barclays EM Aggregate
Non-resident share ~27%
as of 2018.
Top fund holders:
BlackRock
Stone Harbor Investment
Fidelity Investment
◉
Allianz
◉ Pitcet Funds
4
04.01.2016
04.01.2017
04.01.2018
04.01.2019
10Y CDS
Currency performance 3 year
horizon 2016-2019
South Africa
258
Russia
10%
Brazil
257
South Africa
9%
Malaysia
5%
Mexico
198
Brazil
4%
Russia
182
20,0
22,0
Colombia
3%
Standard deviation
Colombia
180
-3%
Indonesia
Indonesia
165
70,2
28,9
52,7
54
54,2
49,4
-5%
India
India
146
-11%
Mexico
Malaysia
103
Indonesia
South
Africa
Malaysia
Mexico
Colombia
17,4
Russia
Brazil
India
MOSCOW
EXCHANGE
Source: Bloomberg, MOEX
☑
10View entire presentation