Investor Presentaiton
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jul-15
Nov-15
Mar-16
FX RESERVES
FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE - POLICY PRIORITY
Source: NBG
5.0 1.42
1.30
1.36
1.44
1.6
1.31
1.25
1.23 1.24
1.27
1.16
1.29
1.4
4.0
1.03
1.2
4.1
3.9
3.0
3.5
1.0
3.3
2.8 2.9 2.8
3.0
0.8
2.0
2.7
2.8
2.5
0.6
2.3
0.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
M2 AND ANNUAL INFLATION
Jun-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
✓ May-17
Sep-17
Official FX reserves, US$ bn
M2 multiplier
Jan-18
May-18
Aug-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Jul-19
Nov-19
Mar-20
Annual inflation, eop (RHS)
Jul-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Source: NBG
40%
15%
30%
10%
20%
5%
10%
0%
0%
-5%
-10%
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
d 8 ៖ ៩ ៩ ៩ ៩
100
120
Nov-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Oct-15
Jan-16
NOMINAL AND REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
(JAN2014-100)
Source: NBG
May-16
Aug-16
Nominal effective exchange rate
M2 AND USD/GEL
GEL
depreciation
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
GEL/USD, % change, y/y (RHS)
Dec-16
Apr-17
Jul-17
GEL
appreciation
Nov-17
Feb-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Nov-19
Mar-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Jan-19
Apr-19
Aug-19
Dec-19
130
120
+2.6% y/ 110
100
90
+7.3% y/y
80
70
Mar-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Real effective exchange rate
May-21
Sep-21
Source: NBG
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
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