Kun-Manie Project Mineral Resource Estimate
Amur
Minerals
Nickel Market Status - Supply Deficits To Persist
■
Nickel market has entered a sustained period of deficits from years of
under investment in new mines due to years of falling prices
Nickel price unsustainable as at current spot prices with almost half of
the nickel mining industry losing money
Industry living off drawdown of inventory which is dampening price
recovery in the immediate term but which can not last
Around half of the industry losing money at $10,000/t
Business costs $/tonne, 2017
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
20,000
18,000
16,000
NiS
Hydro
FeNi
NPI
Price Line
10000 $/t Ni
14,000
12,000
10,000
L
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Cumulative nickel production '000 tonnes
-40
582° 27
0
-20
1Q2013
2Q2013
3Q2013
4Q2013
1Q2014
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012
4Q2012
1Q2013
2Q2013
3Q2013
Market registers fifth straight quarter of deficit in Q1 2017
Market balance '000 tonnes
LME 3-month $/t
80
30,000
HIL
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
Balance
⚫LME 3-month
5,000
0
Data: CRU
Reported and unreported stocks fall further into 2017
Change in stocks '000 tonnes
2Q2014
3Q2014
4Q2014
1Q2015
2Q2015
Data: CRU
3Q2015
4Q2015
1Q2016
2Q2016
7
3Q2016
4Q2016
1Q2017
4Q2013
1Q2014
2Q2014
3Q2014
4Q2014
1Q2015
2Q2015
3Q2015
4Q2015
1Q2016
2Q2016
3Q2016
4Q2016
1Q2017
Unreported
■ReportedView entire presentation