Spyglass Portfolio -- Megatrends
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New Position: DoorDash, Inc. (DASH)
DoorDash Meets Spyglass's Seven Core Investment Criteria
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Leadership position in secular growth industry
DOORDASH
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Americans spend $600 billion annually at restaurants, and food delivery continues to take share of total spend
→ DoorDash is the clear leader in US Food Delivery with more than 60% market share
Results-oriented, entrepreneurial management team with long-term focus and proven track record
→ Tony Xu started the business in 2013 and remains CEO today
Sustainable competitive advantage
Supply and demand network effects
→ Best-in-class customer retention and order frequency
Above-average long-term revenue growth
Revenue has grown from approximately $290 million in 2018 to an estimated $8.4 billion in 2023
Given scale of opportunity, Spyglass estimates durable double-digit topline growth
Above-average long-term earnings growth
→ Spyglass estimates incremental EBITDA margins of over 30%, providing a long runway for significant margin
expansion
Financially sound
→ DoorDash has $3.8 billion in cash on the balance sheet (no debt) and generates positive free cash flow
Attractive valuation
→ Spyglass Base Case model suggests the potential for a 20% or greater annual return over the next five years
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