2021 Investor Day Presentation
Living in uncertain times: renewable energy & dry year flexibility
Hydro inflow deficits of 5TWh (20%) have historically been managed by
maintaining thermal capacity, flexible thermal fuel storage, and flexible
thermal fuel deliveries
Newly committed wind and geothermal projects (2.7TWh) will move the
system to 90% renewable over the next few years
The Government has stated its intent for a 100% renewable system by 2030
They are proposing the Onslow-Manorburn pump storage scheme as a key
plank towards this goal
As more wind enters the system, it too can face extreme deficits of 8-10%.
Solar also faces deficits of up to 3-5%
A Tiwai smelter closure by the end of 2024 could see 5TWh of excess
Southland-Otago generation attempting to flow northward
In response to this regional energy imbalance, large-scale demand.
stimulation projects are being pursued
Significant new demand in Southland that is also flexible could address
regional energy balance and create an alternative mechanism for dry-years.
Major Generation Sources
Scaled to size of mean energy contribution: 2021-23
Hydro storage
Thermal storage
Hydro generation
Coal generation
Gas generation
Geothermal generation
Wind generation
Major load centre
Net transfer to NI
- HVDC link
Meridian.
Source: Meridian
11 MAY 2021
2021 INVESTOR DAY PRESENTATION
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