Investor Presentaiton
Attractive Industry Backdrop Driven by Favorable
Local Demographic and Lifestyle Trends (II/II)
Retail market is recovering following two years of slowdown, with significant upside driven by the Vision 2030 reforms
Store-based Sales 2
Non-Grocery Sales
Trough
Growth
110
116
105
104
99
103
105
89
60
60
60
60
60
Growth
69
64
61
11.7%
10.7%
5.9%
7.2%
5.9%
4.3%
2.1%
(0.6)%
(1.0)%
6.9%
5.3%
2.4%
2014A
2015A
2016A
2017A
2018A
2019E
2020E
2021E
2016A
Store Based Sales (US$bn)
-O-Growth
(1.0)%
2017A
Non Grocery Sales (US$bn)
(0.1)%
2018A
2019E
2020E
2021E
Growth
Key Focus Areas of VISION 230 Reforms
Enriching
Quality of Life
Women
Enablement
Promote Saudi Arabia's entertainment
industry
Enhance Saudi Arabian cities' positioning
among top cities
Expected Impacts for Retail / ACC
Entertainment / leisure including cinemas as incremental footfall
generators
Recapture retail spending outside of the Kingdom
Government drive to increase women
mobility
Increase the participation of women in the
workforce from 22% to 30% by 2030 → 7%
increase per year in discretionary spend (1)
Enablement of large part of target catchment
Boost in total purchasing power
Boosting
Tourism
Focus on tapping the
country's underdeveloped
tourism industry
Foster more balanced and
sustainable demand
Increase the Umrah visitors
from 8 million to 30 million
per year by 2030
Infrastructure
Improve public transportation infrastructure
/ connectivity
Upcoming ~US$426 billion infrastructure plan
Increasing domestic and international tourist flows
in Saudi Arabia
Improved accessibility / mobility leading to higher footfall
Source: Vison 2030, Jadwa Investment, Centre for International Communication, Euromonitor 2018, Saudi Railways Organization, Bloomberg, JLL Market Study, IMF
Notes: 1. Additional 770k working women calculated as 8% (30% minus 22%) of current women population in Saudi Arabia between 15-64 years of age. US$2.6bn discretionary spend calculated as 38% of the total disposable income of additional working women
Notes: 2 Store-based Sales/Source: JLL Market Study, Euromonitor 2018, IMF
Arabian Centres Company . Investor Presentation
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