Investor Presentaiton
Canadian Household Credit
Public policy changes have moderated growth in household credit
• Total household credit grew at 3.7% annually in nominal terms in Q3/19 vs 2008 peak of 12.2% annually
• Consumer loans excluding mortgages (cards, HELOCS, unsecured lines, auto loans, etc.)
grew at 3.1% annually in Q3/19 vs > 5% in late 2017
• Mortgage credit grew at 4.0% annually in Q3/19 vs 2008 peak of 13%
25
20
HOUSEHOLD CREDIT GROWTH
%, 3-month moving average
15
15
y/y %
change
10
5
m/m%
change,
SA
0
-5
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada.
CONSUMER LOAN GROWTH
25
25
%, 3-month moving average
20
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE GROWTH
25
%, 3-month moving average
20
y/y%
15
change
15
y/y%
change
10
10
5
m/m%
change, SA
0
m/m%
5
change,
SA
0
-5
-5
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada.
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada.
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