Investor Presentaiton
Cost of Risk
Solid position
Evolution of Cost of Risk
Near term Cost of Risk outlook
Strategic initiatives impacting
Cost of Risk
•
.
Current expected credit loss levels predict 30bps cost of risk in
the near term, impacted by conservative IFRS 9 assumptions
that reflect on current economic conditions
Through-the-cycle cost of risk between 20-25bps given
the current portfolio composition and risk profile
High interest rates are a near term
headwind for borrowers
22
1.50%
1.00%-
0.50%
0.00%
-0.50%
2018
2019
2020
2021
-
-
Cost of risk (net impairment / LTC)
Cost of risk-average 2018-2023
-
Cost of risk average 2020-2023
Close dialogue with borrowers around
mitigating options in current rate
environment
Expected reduction in policy rates and
inflation will provide relief
Impairments in 2024 are likely to be
impacted by the seismic events near
Grindavík, while exposure is limited.
Ongoing evaluation and dialogue with
borrowers
•
Exposure ISK 8.3bn to corporates and
ISK 2.0bn to individuals
ISK 6.0bn of corporate exposure is
secured by fishing vessels and quotas
not impacted by the events.
The Bank is participating in government
actions to assist the people of
Grindavík
Credit syndication as an important risk
management tool, providing feedback from
other credit participants
Credit models are under continuous
development. The models have been
successfully applied for years for automatic
credit-decisions for individuals and the
Bank plans to develop similar solutions for
SME lending
Data initiative will further strengthen credit
risk assessment
Rolling out a cyber-security education
program for customers. Frauds and cyber
attacks
0.425%
•
0.235%
2022
2023
Positive impact
Negative impactView entire presentation