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Investor Presentaiton

32 ANNUAL REPORT 2018-2019 ANNUAL REPORT 2018-2019 Future prospect of the capital market in 2019 looks bright perform better with the projected growth of the economy. Provided that interest remain under control and liquidity conditions remain stable, the market is expected to perform better. Power Sector Scenario in Bangladesh Bangladesh is one of the fastest growing economies in the world. As per the latest forecast of the Asian Development Bank, the Bangladesh economy will grow at 8 percent this fiscal year, which would be the highest in Asia. The forecast is close to the government target of 8.2 percent growth in fiscal year 2019-20. Last fiscal year, Bangladesh pulled off 8.13 percent GDP growth. Despite a weaker global growth, favorable trade prospects continue in Bangladesh. On the supply side, higher expansion in industry and services has lifted the robust growth. A steady and available source of electricity has ensured that Bangladesh economy is able to hold onto its momentum. The performance of Bangladesh's power sector has been impressive due to the progressive efforts of policymakers, support from developing partners and YEAR-WISE INCREASE IN GENERATION effective project implementation by public and private developers. The growth in terms of capacity addition in the last 10 years has been remarkable, from around 4.5 GW in 2007-08 to 20 GW by October 2018. Bringing this target to fruition, investment of about US$ 21 billion during 2017-21, US$ 24 billion during 2022-31 and US$ 10 billion during 2032-41 will be required. Bangladesh has the potential and capacity to absorb the investment and ensure the return for the investors. However, further steps need to be taken to match the demand-supply gap of electricity in a sustainable way and this match the pace of economic growth of the country. Massive capacity enhancement and expansion projects of the power sector are being undertaken. It has been planned to increase the installed capacity to 24 GW by 2021 and about 8,000 km of new transmission lines and 1,20,000 km of distribution lines have also been planned to be constructed by 2020. In accordance with the recent Power System Master Plan, Bangladesh aims to add 2 GW renewable energy (RE) projects in the long term. The number of power plants rose to about 135 with combined power generation capacity of 22,329 MW including 2,800 MW captive generation and 334 MW through renewable energy. The access to electricity has increased to 92%. The maximum demand served so far is 12,893 MW (as of 29 May 2019). APSCL Sector Installed Generation Capacity (MW) Public Sector BPDB 5,498 Sector-wise generation 1,444 839 1,395 182 BPDB RPCL JV 149 9,507 (50%) 50% 50% EGCB NWPGCL RPCL Sub Total 15 yr. Rental Private Sector IPPS 6,689 SIPPS (BPDP) 99 SIPPS (REB) 251 169 3/5 yr. Rental 1,320 Power Import 1,160 Public Private 9,688 (50%) 19,195* Sub Total Total FUEL MIX PROPORTION Fuel Mix Proportion - August 2019 Fuel Mix Proportion - Forecasted 2041 NSTALLED CAPACITY) 12000 10000 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-2 2012-13 2014 20496 291490 2914-17 2017-14 2014-10 Macker OLOE Fumace 33 LING
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