ESG Dialogue
THE ENERGY SECURITY SCENARIOS
IN ANY SCENARIO, ELECTRIFICATION ACCELERATES
The final energy system trends rapidly towards electricity
■ A century long trend shifts gear in the 2020s.
■Electrification of transport leads the way:
■ Passenger vehicles.
Light road freight.
■Residential energy use trends towards
Electricity as a fraction of total final energy
60%
50%
>10% points per decade increase
40%
30%
full electrification, even for heating.
Around 2% points per decade
increase for a century
■ Industrial energy use shifts more slowly,
20%
>5% points per
decade increase
but still electrifies over time.
Shell plc | March 22, 2023
10%
0%
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
History
Archipelagos
Sky 2050
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