Investor Presentaiton
Commodity outlook - medium to long term
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Diamonds
Global economic recovery and growing disposable income drives higher consumer demand
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Global supply of rough diamonds expected to slightly decline due to lack of significant recent discoveries
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Copper
Demand is robust in the long term and accelerated decarbonisation presents further upside
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PGMs
Bulks
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Supply growth is increasingly challenging due to heightened ESG, technical and sovereign risks
PGM loadings to rise further with introduction of next generation of emissions standards in mid-2020s. Further
substitution of platinum for palladium likely in petrol vehicles. BEV share continuing to expand over the near to long term
Longer term: palladium and rhodium tightness eases; expected platinum demand growth from hydrogen fuel cells &
industrial uses
Supply expected to be, at most, stable
Iron ore: In a decarbonising world, iron ore is vital and premium grade iron ore will be preferred. Expected growth in
India and the rest of Asia to drive demand. Supply expected to be able to respond
Steelmaking coal: Demand growth shifts from China to India, while supply growth is limited
Other
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Anglo American
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Nickel: Robust growth in stainless steel & EV battery demand matched by growth in primary supply and recycling
Manganese: ~10kg alloy (approx. 6kg contained manganese) used per tonne of all steels
POLY4: Fertiliser demand increasing owing to a growing, wealthier population and finite land resources
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