Investor Presentaiton
Outlook
Emirates NBD
■ While conditions in the local economy improved in H1 2011, global economic developments in Q3 2011 are
starting to have an impact on local and regional activity
。 Estimated UAE GDP growth for 2011 remains 4.6% largely on the back of higher oil production, but risks are skewed to the
downsize for 2012 in the context of recent global developments
。 UAE oil output continued to expand in Q3 2011 and is 8% higher than average 2010 output; the hydrocarbon sector is
estimated to contribute around half of UAE GDP growth for 2011
。 PMI data indicated strong private sector growth in H1 2011, but Q3 2011 data showed a sharp slowdown in private sector
activity, reflecting the impact of weaker global growth although potentially impacted by seasonal factors
。 Domestic liquidity conditions improved during H1 2011, although Q3 witnessed some evidence of tighter liquidity conditions
with sector deposit growth slowing and bank deposits with the Central Bank declining
。 The improving fundamentals in H1 2011 were reflected in a narrowing of CDS spreads for both Abu Dhabi and Dubai,
although these widened again in Q3 2011 due to increased risk aversion in global capital markets
。 Private sector credit growth in the UAE remained subdued during Q3 2011 reflecting continued deleveraging and
heightened uncertainty resulting from global conditions
Despite a more cautious and uncertain outlook, Emirates NBD is resilient and well placed to take
advantage of growth opportunities in selected areas
。 Capitalisation and liquidity continue to be extremely strong, offering resilience and flexibility for the future
o The Bank has a clear strategy in place to invest in and take advantage of selected growth opportunities
Emirates NBD
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