Investor Presentaiton
ANZ 2023 Half Year Results
PROVISION BALANCE
Collective Provision balance, $m
Expected Credit Loss (ECL) scenarios, $m
7,314
4,040
3,853
Additional
817
727
overlays
Scenario
1,407
1,376
& weights
100%
Base case
1,750
1,816
1,816
1,315
3,272
Probability
weighting
0%
45%
40%
15%
Sep 22
Mar 23
100%
upside
100%
100%
base case downside
100%
severe
Australia peak impact of economic scenarios¹
Base case Downside Severe
Unemployment
4.4%
6.9%
10.5%
Peak next 2 years
Residential
-16%
-23%
-45%
Property prices
Peak to trough drop²
GDP
1.2%
-1.1%
-2.8%
Lowest over 3 years
Basis: Cash Profit continuing operations
1.
2.
The Downside Scenario is specified in terms of an index of economic stress. The economic variables shown represent a characterisation of the scenario to facilitate comparison
Peak based on June 2022 quarter
34View entire presentation