Investor Presentaiton
Sri Lanka's Public Debt has grown rapidly and has reached unsustainable levels
Despite the ambitious fiscal consolidation efforts, Sri Lanka's public debt trajectory is set to remain unsustainable in the absence of a
comprehensive debt treatment
The pre-restructuring scenario¹ results in an unsustainable debt trajectory, both in relation to debt stock and flow indicators
In % of GDP², Public Sector Debt Stock (lhs), and CG GFNs (rhs)
160%
140%
128.1%
114.3%
120%
104.0%
100%
80%
60%
34.5%
31.0%
40%
26.1%
20%
50%
45%
In the absence of debt
treatment...
40%
1 114.7%
1
35%
30%
25%
19.8%
2
20%
2
15%
10%
5%
0%
0%
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
CG GFNs (rhs)
2027
Public Sector Debt Stock (lhs)
2026
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
CG 2027-2032 Avg. GFN
Sources: Ministry of Finance, Economic Stabilization and National Policies, Central Bank of Sri Lanka, IMF
Notes: (1) The above DSA trajectory reflects a "pre-restructuring scenario" (i.e., a DSA scenario assuming the IMF program's adjustment path and foreseen
multilateral/project loans financing and in which the remaining financing gap is financed with an illustrative 12% interest rate debt instrument), (2) CG
Debt/GDP and CG GFN/GDP indicators are not presented on the same scale
Public debt
expected to
remain excessively
high
GFNs expected to
remain at unviable
levels
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