U.S. South Historical Valuation Snapshot
Deconstructing Timberland Returns - Illustrative Acquisitions
Illustrative Acquisition Scenario A - Low Productivity Asset / Bottom Quartile Market
Assumed Portfolio Profile
Expected Components of Return
5.0%
Location
MS-1
4.5%
4.0%
1.3%
Composite Stumpage Price (1)
$10.48
3.5%
3.0%
0.5%
Site Index
2.5%
65
1.0%
4.5%
2.0%
(0.5%)
Volume per Acre per Year (2)
3.2
1.5%
1.0%
2.2%
Implied EBITDA per Acre (3)
$34
0.5%
Assumed Value per Acre
$1,500
EBITDA (Capex) Productivity
Return
Gains
HBU
Uplift
Real Price Real Return
Increases
Return Components (% of Total)
28%
39%
33%
■Cash Yield Productivity / HBU Price Increases
Illustrative Acquisition Scenario B – High Productivity Asset / Top Quartile Market
Assumed Portfolio Profile
Expected Components of Return
Return Components (% of Total)
5.0%
4.5%
Location
FL-1
4.0%
Composite Stumpage Price (1)
$25.98
3.5%
0.3%
0.5%
(0.5%)
0.5%
6%
3.0%
71%
Site Index
80
2.5%
4.5%
2.0%
3.7%
Volume per Acre per Year (2)
5.0
1.5%
22%
1.0%
Implied EBITDA per Acre (3)
$130
0.5%
Assumed Value per Acre
$3,500
EBITDA
Return
(Capex) Productivity HBU Real Price Real Return
Gains
Uplift Increases
■Cash Yield Productivity / HBU ▪ Price Increases
Rayonier
(3)
Based on TimberMart-South 3-year average (2020-2022) regional average composite stumpage price assuming mix of 50% pulpwood, 30% chip-n-saw and 20% sawtimber.
Growth and yield predictions based on PMRC 1996 (Loblolly PMRC TR-1996-1 and Slash PMRC TR-1996-3) with FMRC Fastlob 3.0 Fertilizer response equations. Assumes
mix of plantation/hardwood acreage and loblolly / slash species based on Rayonier portfolio averages.
Assumes non-timber income roughly offsets timber management costs for illustration purposes.
Investor Presentation | May 2023
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