Acquisition of Trivantage Holdings Pty Ltd
Strong market fundamentals
scee
Australia's largest supermarkets continue to invest in their store networks, with spend on new stores
and refurbishments being relatively stable over the past 3 years. As a leading provider to this sector,
Trivantage is well placed to benefit from ongoing investment which is expected to remain strong
Supermarket store network
Coles
1.1% CAGR
835
839
843
821
824
809
801
787
776
762
756
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21F
FY22F
FY23F
Woolworths
1.9% CAGR
1,082
1,072
1,062
1,052
1,024
1,008
992
995
961
931
897
Commentary
Capital investment is expected to remain strong
in the near term, with Coles in particular
increasing its spend following a period of under-
investment during its ownership by Wesfarmers
Woolworths has invested heavily in IT and store
renewals after launching its Renewal & Upgrade
program in late 2015 which is expected to
continue through to FY21. Whilst Woolworths'
pace of renewals is now moderating, the
business is still targeting 60-80 store
refurbishments per year in the medium term
Both Coles and Woolworths are also investing
strongly in new store formats/fit out options to
address evolving consumer demands and
particularly with respect to fresh food offerings,
which will continue to drive spend in the sector
Trivantage's forecast earnings derived from
Woolworths and Coles is expected to be
underpinned by consistent and robust medium-
term capital spend targets
FY13
FY14
FY15
Source: Broker Research, Company Filings.
Acquisition of Trivantage Holdings Pty Ltd
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21F
FY22F
FY23F
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