Bank Indonesia Policy Mix
2022 Proposed Budget Posture
Deficit of 4.85% of GDP with flexibility to anticipate the uncertainty
2019
2020
2021
2022
Account
(IDR T)
Audited
Audited
Growth (%)
Outlook
Growth (%)
State Revenue*
1,960.6
1,647.8
(16.0)
1,735.7
5.3
Proposed
Budget
1,840.7
Growth (%)
6.0
Tax Revenue
1,546.1
1,285.1
(16.9)
1,375.8
7.1
1,506.9
9.5
Non Tax Revenue
409.0
343.8
(15.9)
357.2
3.9
333.2
(6.7)
State Expenditure
2,309.3
2,595.5
12.4
2,697.2
3.9
2,708.7
0.4
Central Government
1,496.3
1,833.0
22.5
1,927.0
5.1
1,938.3
0.6
Expenditure
Regional Transfer &
813.0
762.5
Village Funds
(6.2)
770.3
1.0
770.4
0.02
Primary Balance
(73.1)
(633.6)
766.8
(595.3)
(6.0)
(462.2)
(22.4)
Surplus (Deficit)
(348.7)
(947.7)
171.8
(961.5)
1.5
% to GDP
(2.20)
(6.14)
(5.82)
Financing
402.1
1,193.3
196.8
961.5
(19.4)
(868.0)
(4.85)
868.0
(9.7)
(9.7)
MACROECONOMIC
ASSUMPTIONS
Gas Lifting
equivalent per day)
987-1,007
State Revenue IDR 1,840.7 T
Tax Revenue is projected at IDR 1,506.9 T
supported by recovery and optimization
policies.
Non-tax revenue IDR 333.2 T due to not
recurring non-service revenue and
optimization government share of oil and gas
revenue.
State Expenditure IDR 2,708.7 T
Directed to support policies synergies in health
care, community protection and economic
recovery
□ Central government expenditure IDR 1,938.3
T include:
- Expenditure reserves IDR 61.8 T
- Health spending and vaccination in PEN
Programme IDR 44.0T
Transfer to Region and Village Funds IDR
770.4 T
Deficit and Budget Financing IDR
868.0 T (decreased by 9.7%)
Fiscal deficit ratio 4.85% of GDP
With efficient and prudent financing sources,
including the use of budget surplus (SAL)
Economic
Inflation
Growth
Exchange
Rate
10-year
T-Bonds Rate
ICP
(USD/barrel)
2021 Outlook
3.7-4.5%
1.8-2.5% 14,200-14,600
6.34-7.24%
55-65
Oil Lifting
('000 barrels
per day)
680-705
('000 barrels oil
2022 As agreed
5.2%
3%
14,350
6.80%
63
703
1,036
with Parliament
Source: Ministry of Finance
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