2020 Economic Outlook
The Toronto and Vancouver downtown condo markets
■ Constraints on undeveloped land around Toronto / Vancouver have contributed to a shift to higher-density condo housing
Provincial growth plan, including ‘Green belt' surrounding Toronto, contains urban sprawl and favours condo development
Vancouver is restricted in its ability for urban sprawl due to land constraints away from the city centre
■ Canada has one of the highest per capita rates of permanent immigration in the world(1)
- 22% of Canada's population is foreign born (7.5 MM), highest proportion among the G8 nations (1)
-
- 56% of all new immigrants to Canada move to Toronto, Vancouver or Montreal(1)
■ RBC's exposure to condo development is limited – about 3% of our Canadian commercial loan book (2)
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Condo exposure is 10.6% of Canadian residential lending portfolio (2)(3)
"Green Belt" Surrounding Greater Toronto Area
Lake
Simcoe
Lake Ontario
CANADA
USA
Vancouver Limited by Mountains, Sea, U.S. Border
о
cal Reserve
1A
Mt Seymour
Provincial Park
North Vancouver District
VANCOUVER
Pacific Spirit
Regional Park
99
91A
Richmond
(1) Statistics Canada, 2016 Census. (2) As at January 31, 2020. (3) Based on $268BN in residential mortgages and HELOC in Canadian Banking ($38BN).
38 | CANADIAN HOUSING MARKET
17
Belcarra Regional
Park
Pinecone Lake-Burke
Mountain Park
Coquitlam
Maple Ridge
New Westminster
Langley Twp
Surrey
10
Delta
99
Point Roberts
White Rock Campbell Valley
Regional Park
15
13
539
RBCView entire presentation