Pharma Update
Success rate
Roche with leading success rate by molecule...
...but higher Phase III failure rate recently
Molecule success (PoL Preclinical - Approval)
2018-22 Industry Distribution
Peer
13.8%
10.1%
9.9%
Peer
Roche
Peer
8.7%
Peer
8.7%
Peer
8.0%
Peer
6.2%
Peer
6.0%
Peer
5.4%
Peer
4.7%
Peer
Peer
3.9%
2.9%
Median
Top quartile
11
Bottom
quartile
PTS
Molecule Success Rate in Phase III*
2009-13 to 2018-22
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
2009-13
76%
58%
2018-22
Time period
5-year rolling average (Roche)
N=12
5-year rolling average (peers)
N=106
*Values on the Molecule Success Rate trend in phase III graph represent outcomes in the 2018-22 horizon. Graphs start with 2009-13 data and then show 5-year average trend through 2018-22 horizon; PTS-probability of
technical success; Source: KMR Benchmarking analysis
23
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