Investor Presentaiton
2024 Guidance and assumptions
Key expectations and sensitivities reflected in full year Guidance
2024 Financial Guidance
KINETIK
2024 Commodity Price Sensitivities(4)
Range
($mm)
Midpoint
($mm)
% YoY(3)
Commodity
Price Input
% Change in Potential Impact
Price
to EBITDA (1)
Adjusted EBITDA(1)
$905 - $960
$933
11%
WTI ($/Bbl)
~$76
Capital Expenditures(2)
$125 - $165
$145
(72%)
Natural Gas ($/MMBtu
at Houston Ship Channel)
NGLS ($/Gal)
~$2
+/- 10%
+/- $7mm
~$0.60
Volume Assumptions
2024E Gross Profit Sources
2023A %YoY
2024E Growth Expectations
Permian Production (5)
Natural Gas
12%
Crude Oil
9%
Mid-to-high single digit
Low-to-mid single digit
Fixed Fee
90%
Kinetik
O
Hedged
Commodity (6)
5%
Unhedged
Commodity
5%
Natural Gas
21%
Low-double digit
Crude Oil
Produced Water
(21%)
80%
Low-single digit
Current 2024E unhedged commodity-linked Gross Profit is 5%
Mid-single digit
(1)
(2)
(3)
A non-GAAP measure. See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation."
Capital contribution at JV Pipes will be categorized as "Investment in unconsolidated affiliates" in Kinetik's financials. JV Pipe capital contributions included in Kinetik's Capital Expenditures Guidance for simplicity.
Year-over-year growth as compared to the midpoint of 2024 Financial Guidance.
(4)
Assumes pricing as of February 16th, 2024. Sensitivity applied for March through December 2024.
(5)
Source: EIA DPR as of January 12th, 2024.
(6)
Hedged commodity includes two months of realized pricing for January and February 2024.
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