The Power of Agility
29
Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA and free
cash flow capabilities assumptions
1 Adjusted EBITDA reflects Methanex's proportionate
ownership interest. Approximately 65% of our current
North American and ~30% of incremental Geismar 3
natural gas requirements are under fixed price
contracts or hedges. The unhedged portion of our
North American natural gas requirements are
purchased under contracts at spot prices. Estimates
assume Henry Hub natural gas price of $3.25/mmbtu.
The Adjusted EBITDA figures are adjusted for
approximately $50 million of non-cash impact from the
sale of 40% minority interest in the Waterfront Shipping
subsidiary to Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd that closed on
February 1, 2022. This transaction had an insignificant
impact on the free cashflow figures.
2 Free cash flow capability is after lease payments, cash
interest (based on current debt levels), debt service,
maintenance capital, estimated cash taxes and other
cash payments. Various factors including
rising/declining methanol prices, planned and
unplanned production outages, production mix,
changes in tax rates, and other items can impact actual
free cash flow. Incremental free cash flow from G3 is
presented net of estimated maintenance capital. G3 is
presented with zero cash tax due to the significant tax
shelter available to it.
3 Assumes all existing plants operate at full capacity and
idle assets return to production. Incremental gas costs,
capex, logistics and tax rates are assumed to be the
same as existing production capacity on a per tonne
basis.
APPENDIX
methanex
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