Investor Presentaiton
160.0
140.0
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
2006M02
2006M07
2006M12
2007M05
2007M10
ހއ
Percentage
12.0
INFLATION RATE
16.0
14.8
14.4
13.5
14.0
11.8
TREND IN INFLATION RATE
9.2
10.0
8.2
6.9
8.0
6.3
6.4
6.6
6.5
6.5
5.8
5.9
5.8
5.7
5.4
5.1
6.0
11.1
10.5
9.6
9.6
4.0
2.9
2.4
2.4
2.6
2.6
2.7
2.2
1.9
2.0
0.0
Apr-21
Jun-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Food Inflation
NENF
Fuel Inflation
Overall Inflation
2008M03
2008M08
2009M01
2009M06
2009M11
2010M04
2010M09
2011M02
2011M07
2011M12
2012M05
2012M10
2013M03
2013M08
Global Oil Prices, $/bbl
ти
2014M01
2014M06
2014M11
2015M04
2015M09
2016M02
2016M07
2016M12
2017M05
2017M10
2018M03
2018M08
2019M01
2019M06
2019M11
2020M04
2020M09
2021M02
2021M07
2021M12
2.1
GO
調
BANK
Domestic inflation rate has declined to 5.4% in
January 2022 compared to 5.7% in January 2021
and December 2021.
■ This follows a fall in electricity costs by 6% - 9% in
January 2022 compared to a year earlier and by
15% compared to December 2021.
Into Q2 2022, the risk of rising commodities prices
persists. However, Government is likely to provide
some cushion to households by continuing with the
fuel subsidy.
■ The March-April-May long-rains are forecast to be
normal or above normal long-term average.
However, current food stocks are low, given that
the short rains were poor in both space and time.
■ The urban population is hardest hit given that the
rural population produces part of its food.
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