APMM FY & Q4 2023 Financial Results
Highlights
Red Sea disruption affects only -1/3 of Maersk Ocean volumes and
structural overcapacity challenges will prevail as the year progresses
Over-
supply
Under-
supply
Supply-demand imbalance
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
Asia-Europe headhaul rate | USD / FFE
(Index 100 = Oct '23)
3 months'
180
disruption
160
140
12 months'
disruption
120
In balance
100
3 months' disruption
12 months' disruption
Scenarios eventually
converge with
reversion towards
Dec-23 rate levels
Q4-23
.
Q1-24
Q2-24
Initial idle capacity available at ~2% of global fleet
Q3-24
Q4-24
80
Oct-23
Jan-24
Apr-24
Jul-24
Oct-24
•
More capacity
Longer dwell time
.
Longer distance
Higher speed
Other
costs
•
More equipment
Increased carbon
tax
Network
•
Extra capacity requirement due to re-routings at ~6-7% of global fleet
costs
.
Effect of new builds at -2-3% net growth per quarter
Red Sea disruption will help alleviate Ocean losses in Q1
But overall effect will depend on duration and how quickly additional capacity comes into service, leading to wide range of
scenarios for the year
Note: Charts illustrative onlyView entire presentation