J.P.Morgan Investment Banking
PUBLIC MARKET OVERVIEW
Analysis at various prices
$ millions, except per share data
Share price
% premium
Diluted shares (mm)
Equity value
Plus: Debt (as of 6/30/06)¹
Less: Cash (as of 6/30/06)
Firm value
FV/2006E EBITDA
FV/2007E EBITDA
FV/2008E EBITDA
P/2006E EPS
P/2007E EPS
P/2008E EPS
Upside
Case
1 Does not include non-recourse Palmilla and Reethi Rah debt of $164 million
JPMorgan
$214
251
330
$2.78
2.73
4.13
Current price
(3/06/06)
$68.73
0.0%
38.5
$2,647
697
(35)
$3,309
15.5×
13.2
10.0
24.7x
25.2
16.7
$75.00
9.1%
38.9
$2,918
697
(35)
$3,580
16.7x
14.3
10.8
26.9x
27.4
18.2
$80.00
16.4%
39.2
$3,135
697
(35)
$3,797
17.7x
15.1
11.5
28.7x
29.3
19.4
$85.00
23.7%
39.4
$3,351
697
(35)
$4,013
18.7x
16.0
12.2
30.5×
31.1
20.6
PROJECT PLATO
6View entire presentation