Investor Presentaiton
Regulatory key drivers
The regulatory framework is incentive-based, meaning that the regulator allows Ausgrid to outperform the regulated
rate of return by pursuing desirable objectives
Value Driver
Opex
Capex
Debt pricing
Gearing
STPIS
Income tax
Description
AER determines an efficient level of opex by reference to peer benchmarking
and a range of other factors
Provided a business is 'efficient', AER typically adopts a 'base-step-trend'
approach in setting the opex allowance, which relies on escalation of actual
opex in a base year
The EBSS rewards opex underspend and penalises opex overspend against the
regulatory allowance
AER determines an efficient level of capex, typically based on a bottom-up
assessment and trend analysis of historical expenditure
The CESS rewards capex underspend and penalises capex overspend against
the regulatory allowance
AER can challenge any capex above the capex allowance on the basis it is
imprudent or inefficient
In determining regulatory WACC, the AER assumes a cost of debt by reference
to a benchmark basket comprised of 2/3 efficient entities with a BBB+ rating and
1/3 efficient entities with an A rating issuing 10 year debt
In determining regulatory WACC, the AER consistently assumes a gearing ratio
of 60% for all electricity utilities
AER offers incentive payments / penalties based on performance against
reliability targets relating to length and frequency of outages and telephone
response times
AER assumes Ausgrid pays a corporate tax rate of 30% in determining the
regulatory tax allowance
Outperformance potential
The EBSS entitles Ausgrid to retain approximately 30% of any opex underspend
against the opex allowance
EBSS will apply in the FY20-24 regulatory period
The CESS entitles Ausgrid to retain approximately 30% of any underspend
against the capex allowance
Underspend also removes the risk of the AER challenging the
prudency/efficiency of any capex if there is an aggregate capex overspend
across the regulatory period
Regulated returns are improved by achieving borrowing costs below the AER
benchmark for example by:
•
•
Targeting a weighted average debt tenor shorter than the benchmark
Active treasury management to achieve more attractive pricing than the
benchmark
Hedging current debt book at current rates (whereas the AER uses a 10-
year trailing average approach which includes higher historical debt costs)
Regulated returns are improved by targeting higher gearing than the AER
assumption of 60%
Exceeding performance and reliability targets will result in additional incentive
payments to Ausgrid
Ausgrid's regulatory tax allowance will exceed actual tax paid where Ausgrid's
effective tax rate is less than 30%
Better
Ausgrid Together
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