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Investor Presentaiton

Independent Review of RBD Is Bangladesh Rolling Towards A Debt Stress? Bangladesh's Development 6 Scenario Two: Simulation Using Debt-Stabilising Primary Balance Approach FY2017 5.45 Shocks (Compared to Baseline Scenario: 5.5%) FY2020 4 2.65 2 4 Annual 2% rise in real interest rate 2 0 1.81 -0.69 0 Debt-Stabilising Debt-Stabilising Primary Balance Primary Balance Gap (Per cent of -2 Primary Balance (Per cent of GDP) Primary Balance Gap (Per cent of GDP) -2 (Per cent of GDP) GDP) -4 -3.06 -4 -3.56 -6 -6.06 Baseline Scenario Baseline Scenario -6 -5.86 -8 1 Annual 2 per cent increase in real interest rate -8 Annual 2 per cent rise in real interest rate If the value of the debt-stabilising primary balance increases, the government needs to maintain higher budget surplus (or lower budget deficit) CPD (2017): State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2017 (First Reading) 37
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