Investor Presentaiton
Conclusion
-
Key takeaways and outlook for 2022
Operating
environment
Business
performance
Credit risk
2021 key takeaways
2021 was a year of broad-based macro recovery
Loan growth accelerated to +8.6% in 2021
Deposit growth came in at +10.2%
Operating income grew by 8.2% on the back of strong
fee (+16.5%) and NII (+4.2%) growth
Operating costs up by just 2.0% despite inflation
Operating result: +17.1%, CIR at 55.6%
Very favourable risk environment resulted in low risk
costs (9bps of average gross customer loans)
Strong asset quality indicators: NPL ratio at 2.4%, NPL
coverage at 90.9%
2022 outlook
Real GDP to rise 3-5% in 2022 in Erste Group's core
CEE markets and Austria
Mid-single digit loan growth expected
At least mid-single digit NII growth
Low to mid-single digit fee growth
Positive jaws, as operating income expected to grow
faster than costs; <55% CIR likely already in 2022
2022e risk charge expected to be <20 bps of gross
customer loans
YE22e NPL ratio expected below.3.0%
Capital position &
capital return
Fully loaded CET 1 ratio advanced to 14.5%
Dividend per share of EUR 1.6 proposed to 2022 AGM
2022 dividend per share > 2021 DPS
Definition of excess capital buffer for bolt-on M&A and
potential share buybacks
Profitability
Risk factors to
guidance
ROTE recovered to 12.7%
Improved operating performance and low risk costs
were key net profit drivers
Double-digit ROTE expected for 2022
Political, regulatory, geopolitical, economic, health and competition risks, also non-financial and legal risks
Indirect effects from evolving Russia-Ukraine situation, such as financial market volatility, sanctions-related knock-on
effects on some of our customers or the emergence of deposit insurance or resolution cases
Uncertainties due to Covid-19 policy measures; economic downturn may put goodwill at risk
ERSTEŚ
Group
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