Investor Presentaiton
TATA POWER
..light at the end of the tunnel?
Demand augmentation:
➤ Peak demand surge
highest ever
Peak and base demand growth (YoY %)
1000
9.0
13GW in 7MFY19 over FY18 - probably the
800
70
8.0
50
40
SAUBHAGYA will likely result in 8-10% peak demand increase, and 3-5%
base demand increase initially
Load shedding reduction contributed >60bps to FY18 power demand
growth
Enough capacity to sustain for next 4 years - What after that?
Capex in generation required soon to address demand growth and
retirements of inefficient and old plants
Stressed asset resolution to be driven with growth in demand and the
Samadhan and Parivartan schemes
3.0
20
1.0
Peak demand growth (YoY%)
Base demand growth (YoY%)
W
FY18
TATA
7MFY19
Capacity addition thermal capacity addition negative in 7MFY19 on plant retirements
Gas and Other thermal
Nuclear
Hydro
Wind
Solar
(GW)
□ Coal
40
35
30
25
20
Consolidation in Renewables
Continued thrust on renewables; Rationalization of bids in recent rounds
Green Transmission Corridor positive for growth
Recent regulatory orders upholding existing PPAs a positive
Distribution Reforms
UDAY Scheme has been impactful but tariff reforms remain the last mile
➤ Private participation in distribution must for Discoms' turnaround
FY 12
FY13
Source: CEA, I-Soo Rocosroh
AT&C loss trend
0
34.9%
35.2%
0
FY14
FY15
FY18
AT&C loss
34.8%
33.1%
29.5%
0
26.8%
26.6%
0
0
FY04
FYOS
27.7%
FY19E
FY20E
FY10
26.4%
25.5%
FY11
22.6%
25.7%
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY 17
23.0%
20.3%
21.5%
19.0%
FY 18
H1FY19
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
Source: Ministry of Power, PFC I-Sec Research
Calibrated Growth strategy to secure market leadership with sustainable profitability
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