Investor Presentaiton
Introduction
Despite Covid-19 challenges, South-east Asia's only
G20 economy is expected to recover from 2021 onwards
Indonesia posted annual pre-pandemic growth of around 5%, with a rebound expected from 2021*
Real GDP value ($ bn)
1500
1200
900
600
300
0
-300
-600
2015
2016
ཡ
2017
•
Real GDP growth (%
change)
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
2018
2019
2020
2021F
2022F
2023F
2024F
2025F
*October 2021 IMF forecast
Indonesian government's focus areas for 2022:
•
Control Covid-19 transmission while prioritising health sector
•
Maintain social protection programmes for the vulnerable
Strengthen fiscal decentralisation for inter-regional equality
Implement zero-based budgeting to: encourage more
efficient spending, strengthen synergies among central
and regional governments, focus on priority and results-
based programmes, and hedge against uncertainty
Total population, 2015-26F (m)
2016
2017
2018
20.7%
2019
2020
2022F
13.2%
2024F
2026F
7.8%
.
12.7%
0
100
200
300
Other
10.8%
•
Refine agenda to develop competitive human capital
Continue infrastructure development and technological
adaptation
Contribution to GDP by sector, Q1 2019
Manufacturing
Wholesale & retail
Trade Agriculture,
forestry
& fishing
Construction
Mining & quarrying
35.5%
4.6%
growth
Growth potential
Indonesia enjoyed annual GDP
growth of around 5% over 2015-
19, on the back of robust domestic
consumption, and ongoing efforts
to reform policy and simplify
investment procedures under
President Jokowi.
This trajectory was halted by Covid-
19-related pressures during 2020,
with a 2.1% contraction for the year.
Nevertheless, the IMF's latest
forecast from October 2021
suggests 2021 GDP will exceed the
2018 figure, to be followed by 5.8%
growth in 2022. President Jokowi
has placed human capital
development at the forefront of his
second-term agenda for 2019-24.
Alongside accelerated digital
transformation from 2020, this
should help the sizeable, expanding
population unlock productivity-driven
growth in key economic sectors.
PwC
OBG ESG Report
O
OXFORD
BUSINESS
GROUP
Sources: Bl; Bloomberg; IMF; World Bank
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