Sri Lanka Economic and Public Debt Analysis slide image

Sri Lanka Economic and Public Debt Analysis

6 420 Jan-20 Foreign exchange reserves in USDm, yearly FX debt service in % of reserves as at end of previous year¹ 10 70% 8 Sri Lanka Central Government's foreign currency yearly debt service in % of Gross Official Reserves as at end-2019, end-2020 and end-2021 May-20 Consequently, foreign reserves were depleted to preserve citizens' access to basic needs and to service foreign debt obligations As the energy crisis reinforced the need for foreign currency to finance fundamental imports, the scarcity of available funding sources triggered the depletion of foreign reserves and the collapse of the Sri Lankan Rupee, hence fueling rising inflation Foreign exchange reserves and debt service payments CCPI Inflation In y-o-y change and in annual average Sep-20 98% 139% 0% 20% Jan-20 40% 60% May-20 PBOC swap CCPI based Headline Inflation (Y-o-Y) CCPI based Headline Inflation (Annual Avg.) The decline in foreign reserves hampered Sri Lanka's ability to mitigate the effects of the crisis through the subsidization of imports, whilst its currency was steadily losing value on the back of ever-increasing inflation- leading to adverse conditions for all Sri Lankan people, in particular the poor and vulnerable Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka Note: (1) The debt service showcased is the Central Government foreign currency debt service for the entire year as percentage of Gross Official Reserves as at end-2019, end-2020 and end-2021 respectively. 2022 Central Government foreign currency debt service is calculated at end-2021 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 6 +58p.p. in the last year 28% 64%
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