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Investor Presentaiton

20 20 The dairy industry in Tasmania A guide for investors 21 As Table 4 (page 12) indicates, farm prices can vary considerably. The values included in the indicative costs of buying a dairy farm are representative of better farms sold in Tasmania the past few years. They assume a bare-land value of $14 000 per hectare for dryland and $21 000 per hectare for irrigation area (including water and underground mains and other costs). On the assumptions here, there is limited reduction in capital cost per hectare or per cow as farm size and cow numbers increase. Any reduction is likely to come from spreading the cost of the milking facility over additional hectares/cows, especially with a rotary dairy (for example, 500 cows versus 750 cows). On the other hand, the 250 cow farm has a relatively low-value herringbone shed included in its improvements and so has an overall capital per cow similar to the larger 500 cow farm with a rotary dairy. The average milk price is assumed to be around $6.00 per kg milk solids, which is below where prices are currently, but are in line with the longer term trend. They are shown to increase by 5c per kg milk solids, between the 250 cow farm and the other farms. The actual increase based on quantity premiums should be higher than this, but milk quality also needs to be taken into account and it can be difficult to maintain standards with larger herds. Pasture utilisation Pasture utilisation is the most significant driver of profit in Tasmanian pasture-based dairy systems. Typically the best results are achieved by paying close attention to the pasture supply and demand situation, and making astute decisions about grazing management and supplementary feeding. Increasing pasture utilisation by one tonne of dry matter per hectare (10 per cent) can make a significant difference to overall profitability. Training in grazing management is available through the Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture (TIA) and assistance in on-farm implementation and monitoring is available from private consultants. Labour use Labour and feed are the most significant cost inputs. Within the model farms, full time equivalents (FTE's) have been used to define labour requirements. This is the number of employees (including the manager) required to run the farm, based on a 38 hour week. The budgets assume that all labour (including the owner/ manager) is fully paid for. In most instances, significant increases in disposable income can be achieved if owners or share farmers elect to take on a greater proportion of the work. Labour use efficiency is generally measured as the number of cows milked per FTE. The average is around 80 to 90 cows per FTE, but well-set up farms can exceed 100 cows per FTE. Generally as farm size increases there are labour efficiencies. These may continue to increase with herd sizes up to 1 200 cows. Table 8: Wages cost Number of cows Labour required (FTE) Owner operator 250 500 750 1 000 1.0 1.25 1.25 1.5 Other wages 2.0 3.75 5.25 6.5 Total 3.0 5.0 6.5 8.0 Cows per labour unit Wages cost 33 83 100 115 125 Owner operator Other wages $68 330 $91 100 $102 490 $113 880 Total Average cost per labour unit Labour cost per kg milk solids $89 000 $157 330 $52 450 $1.57 $166 880 $257 980 $51 600 $233 630 $336 120 $51 750 $289 250 $403 130 $50 400 $1.32 $1.15 $1.06 Source: Macquarie Franklin, April 2017
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