1H24 Financial Results
Group margin
Group
•
Increased hedge earnings from higher rates
Replicated portfolio (RP) & equity hedge
In 1H24, RP and equity hedge earnings benefitted from higher rates
•
Earnings outlook continues to improve with higher exit tractor rates
Domestic equity hedge
Deposit hedge
Liquidity & basis risk
Liquidity
•
Every additional $10bn of liquid assets is expected to reduce Group NIM by ~2bpts
Basis risk
Increased sensitivity to basis risk in 1H24 with mix reversion back to variable rate home
loans and term deposits driving higher exposure to basis risk
• Dec 23 average BBSW/OIS spread = 1bpt
.
Dec 23 balance
$bn
1H24
Avg. tractor¹
Exit tractor¹
rate
Investment
term
51
2.25%
2.52%
3 years
108
1.95%
2.05%
5 years
• As at Dec 232, every 9bpts = ~1bpt of Group NIM, this ratio will reduce as exposure to
basis risk increases
8.00%
4.00%
0.00%
Jun 08
RP hedge rate
1.0%
Equity hedge rate
3M BBSW
RBA official cash rate
0.6%
0.2%
-0.2%
Dec 23
Jun 08
3 months BBSW/OIS spread
Long Term Basis Risk Avg: 22bpts
Dec 23
1. Tractor is the moving average hedge rate on equity and rate insensitive deposits. Exit tractor rate represents average rate for December 2023. 2. Based on average exposure to basis risk in December 2023.
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