jetBlue Mergers and Acquisitions Presentation Deck
jetBlue
Value of JetBlue's proposal is superior to Frontier's at nearly every assumed
probability of closing
Assumed
probability of closing
Implied
Spirit
stock
price
No deal
Frontier
transaction
JetBlue
transaction
@ $30
JetBlue
transaction
@ $33
Hypothetical
Spirit share price
if transaction
does not close
0%
-$151
-$15
No RBF
-$17
$1.83 / RBF
~$17
$1.83 / RBF
Break-even
probability
of JetBlue $33 offer
equals Frontier
completed deal
~11%
-$18
-$19
Break-even
probability
of JetBlue $30 offer
equals Frontier
completed deal
-13%
-$19
~$19
Approx.
probability
implied by spread
pre-JetBlue
proposal leak
- 50%²
P
-$17
~$23
-$25
-75%
-$27
-$29
100%
-$19
$30
$33
Spirit shareholders are choosing ~$19 for the potential of a successful Frontier deal vs. ~$17 for a failed
JetBlue deal OR the expected $30 (total upside potential of at least ~$12) upon closing of a JetBlue transaction
Current
Implied
Frontier
Offer Value
Source: Bloomberg; market data as of May 13, 2022. 1 Reflects Spirit HUSP indexed against Frontier stock price performance since 04-Feb-2022 (undisturbed date before Frontier Transaction announcement). 2 As of April 4, 2022 (day before JetBlue proposal leak). Note:
$33.00 represents the offer price that Spirit shareholders could receive if their Board engaged with JetBlue in a negotiated transaction.
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