Investor Presentaiton
The State of the Housing Market
Declining affordability is driving a slowdown in housing activity, but structural supply/demand imbalance suggests a moderation in
home price appreciation rather than pronounced declines
Outlook for the Housing Market
Housing activity is slowing sharply from the elevated pandemic levels
Housing Activity(1), normalized
2.0
■
Higher mortgage rates, combined with strong
home price appreciation over the past two years,
have challenged housing affordability
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Housing activity, according to various sales
metrics, is slowing, suggesting that prices should
follow soon
The slowdown appears more pronounced in
states that have seen higher home price
growth
Underlying housing market supply - challenged
by a decade-long shortage in construction
following the Great Financial Crisis - continues
to be short relative demand, supporting home
prices over the medium term
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Affordability has declined as a result of higher interest rates and higher home prices
Monthly Mortgage Payment on the Median Existing Home (2), $ per month
$2,000
$1,750
Credit availability and lending standards remain
conservative relative to prior periods
$1,500
$1,250
The impact of higher mortgage rates on housing
turnover bears watching in coming months, as
homeowners might be more reluctant to move
given higher housing costs
$1,000
$750
$500
2001
est. increase due to higher rates (3)
est. increase due to higher home prices (3)
51%
YOY
www
2009
2011
2015
2017
2019 2021
2003 2005
2007
2013
Note: Data as of July 19, 2022, unless otherwise noted. Grey shading represents recession periods. For source information, please refer to the endnotes included at the end of this
presentation.
Detailed endnotes and a glossary of defined terms are included at the end of this presentation.
ANNALY
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