Assessing Climate Change Risk and Resilience in the Yukon slide image

Assessing Climate Change Risk and Resilience in the Yukon

Table 1 summarizes the risk scores for for the most significant impacts related to Priority 1. For more details about the scoring process, see Method on page 2. Table 1 Summary of risk scores, Priority 1: Extreme weather and precipitation events that threaten transportation infrastructure No. Impact 2 Wildfires threaten INF FS ركة communities, 17 heritage values, CH AC CM and infrastructure 16 14 15 Wildfire LH EH HW 12 16 16 12 Warming winter INF FS EN conditions reduce 13 15 13 the availability of CH AC CM winter roads and Snow, ice, water 12 16 14 ice bridges LH EH HW 13 12 14 31 Washouts and INF FS EN landslides lead to 13 13 12 Moderate: more likely than not to occur once transportation CH AC CM service interrup- Extreme weather 11 13 12 tions or failures LH EH HW 11 10 12 Risk score (1-25) Likelihood x Consequence EN 11 15 Likelihood based on a score from very low to very high High: more likely than not to occur multiple times per decade; may occur annually High: more likely than not to occur multiple times per decade; may occur annually per decade; may occur multiple times per decade • Consequences to values • Supply chain interruptions • Interruptions in access to essen- tial services such as health care and social services • Interruptions of essential supplies such as fresh food and fuel • Mental health impacts from isolation • · • Higher food prices due to supply chain interruptions Disruptions to local business and tourism Hindered repair and maintenance of power supply 33 Extreme INF FS EN High: more likely than precipitation 17 16 15 not to occur multiple events cause CH AC CM times per decade; may damage Snow, ice, water 15 16 occur annually 16 LH EH HW 16 15 16 39 Range of hazards A range of INF FS EN High: more likely than climate-related 14 17 15 not to occur multiple factors disrupt critical supply chains CH AC CM times per decade; may occur annually 9 18 16 LH EH HW 16 12 17 Legend: The nine values: AC = Access CH = Culture and heritage CM = Community EH = Environmental Health FS = Food security HW = Health and well-being INF = Infrastructure LH = livelihoods Likelihood score: 1 = very low 2 = low 3 = moderate Risk score Low 0-4 Low 5-8 EN = Energy 4 = high 5 = very high Moderate 9-12 Moderate 13-15 High 16-20 High 21-25 PAGE 12 ASSESSING CLIMATE CHANGE: RISK AND RESILIENCE IN THE YUKON
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