Investor Presentaiton
Beyond the one-size-fits-all approach:
Factors that influence the trade-offs between resource revenue management decisions
Factors
Degree of commodity
dependence
Savings rate to date
Investment deficit
Degree of resource
exhausitibility and anticipated
price fluctuations
Institutional capacity to invest
Degree of resource abundance
per capita
Explanation
The more dependent a country is on a given commodity, the more urgent
diversification becomes (e.g. Algeria, Angola, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela).
Current savings rate contribute to the ability of the country to invest
domestically as it is already “insured" in case of a commodity price
collapse (e.g. Chile)
Investment deficits (include low spending on human capital, education or
R&D) increase the opportunity costs of resource revenue investments in
financial assets overseas because funds would not be made available for
domestic investment (e.g. Algeria, Botswana, Chile, Nigeria)
If resources are to be depleted on the long term, or if their value is to
decrease due to changes in consumer demand or technological
innovations, the urgency to diversify sources of revenues through the
transformation of domestic productive structures increases (e.g. fossil fuel
dependent economies)
A government's ability to spend revenues effectively is affected by the
level of institutional development.
The opportunity cost of investment in financial assets overseas are lower
for very resource rich per capita countries (e.g. Kuwait, Qatar, UAE) than
medium resource rich per capita countries (Algeria, Nigeria), where there
is a need for employment generation outside of extractive sectorsView entire presentation