Investor Presentaiton
Economic growth and reforms agenda on track
SIEMENS
>7.5% GDP growth expected aided by a consumption boost. Demonetization impact could bring GDP down to 7% temporarily
◉
☐
GST clearance is a positive step;
proposed four slabs could create implementation complexities and classification
disputes; however central and state government consensus positive
Demonetization of currency notes (INR 500/1000) expected to have a positive
economic impact in the medium-long term by choking off the parallel economy
Business optimism indices on new orders consistently improving
Nikkei India Manufacturing PMI rose to a 22-month peak of 54.4 in Oct 2016
Lead economic indicators point to a possible recovery
new corporate borrowings increased as compared to the previous year; corporate
investments (Jan-Sep'16) are higher than the full year 2015
Consumer price inflation continues to drop; expected to soften further
GST not expected to stoke inflation as approx. 50% of CPI items out of tax net
Capacity utilisation in the last few quarters has been 72-74% compared to
78-79% a few years ago; manufactured goods inflation is well below average
Normal monsoon will positively impact growth in rest of the fiscal
Manufacturing PMI Index
Growth
54.4
50 →
50.3
no change
on previous
month
52.4
52.1
49.1
50.7
Contraction
OND J F M A M J JASO
• October data provides positive
news for India's economy, as
manufacturing output and
new orders expanded at the
fastest rates in 46 and 22
months, respectively,"
- IHS Markit
GST Goods & Services Tax; PMI Purchasing Managers Index; CPI Consumer Price Index
Page 4
FY 2016, Analyst PresentationView entire presentation