Renewable Diesel Feedstock Perspective
REASON FOR MARGIN STABILITY
RD superior cost structure floats on BD marginal volume supply;
Marginal volume to satisfy mandates: soybean-fed biodiesel
Renewable diesel advantages in product quality, cash operating costs, scale, logistics and greater D4 RIN generation
Biodiesel utilization is highly reactive to small dips in daily margin; BD output has been seen to fall 20-40% in a week which in turn causes
a rapid shortfall in D4 and LCFS balances, which promptly respond to restore the BD margin
⚫ Hence the full margin stack is self-stabilizing
Renewable Diesel Industry Margin (Soybean Oil), $/gal
Biodiesel Industry Margin (Soybean Oil), $/gal
$3.00
$3.00
$2.50
$2.50
$2.00
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$-
Jan
Feb Mar
Apr May Jun
5yr range
2021
Jul
Aug Sep
2022
Oct
Nov
Dec
-
5yr avg
Source: Platts, EIA, Bloomberg Energy, Macrotrends, Jacobsen.
Note:
Data as of 5/27/22.
$1.50
RD advantage
> $1/gal
$1.00
$0.50
Jan
Feb
5yr range
2021
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
5yr avg
Dec
2022 -
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