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Investor Presentaiton

Chapter X - Breaking the Mould: Inclusive Budgeting. Framework for Rolling Expenditure and the Rest PART IV: Framework for Rolling Expenditure In consonance with Public Financial Management Reforms Strategy, the Finance Department has conceived and implemented a Framework for Rolling Expenditure (FRE) to get a better handle on the releases of Expenditure assignments. The Framework shall govern the execution of Expenditure assignments budgeted for FY 2020-21. FRE has been structured with a view to enabling the Finance Department to better plan and manage the upcoming Fiscal Year and execute the Annual Budget in a more predictable and responsive manner. It is aimed at providing control over the forecast and visibility for the 12-months on rolling basis. Such fiscal controls are mandated owing to the challenges that accompany the exigencies like COVID-19 pandemic, which force a diversion of significant resources off course, and the need remains to ensure provision of other aspects of service delivery at the same time with only minimal disturbance. So, essentially, the FRE has evolved out of the lessons learnt from the fiscal management of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Province, hence having very practical foundation, and understanding of the need to prepare better for the future. FRE is meant to serve three key ends - resilience to Revenue and Expenditure shocks, ensuring only unavoidable disruption to the most important aspects of routine service delivery and demand-driven model of releases of Expenditure assignment. Following are the salient constituent features of this Framework; Figure 1 captures the essence of the same: 鳳 Rolling Framework of Expenditure to see Potential Headwinds and Adjust Spending Forecast for Defined Time Horizon - FY and Beyond for 12 Months to Assess the size of Throw-Forwards Monthly Releases on Non-Development side For First Quarter of FY, at least, Control over Cashflows to Mitigate the Impacts of Revenue Shocks Based on Input from Key Departments Demand-Driven Model vs the Traditional Supply-Driven Frontloading/ Backloading the Priority Heads/Sub- Heads based on Requirements Framework for Rolling Expenditure. Finance Department. Govt. of Punjab Legislative Measures become a Possibility with Increased Visibility Amendments to Finance Bill during the Financial Year Participatory Course Correction More than Two Statements of Excess and Surrenders Opportunity to the Departments for Intermediate Course Correction Resilience to Revenue and Expenditure Shocks Real-time visibility for a defined time horizon - Fiscal Year and beyond for 12 months rolling. Envisages monthly releases on Non- Development side. This carries the advantage of greater spending control in the beginning of the FY. ☐ Applicable on all Non-Development Expenditure heads excluding Pays and Allowances " " Demand-driven vs. Supply-Driven release plan characterizes the FRE. The FRE model kicks into action at the beginning of the Fiscal Year by taking input from the key Provincial Government Departments before the year commences. A Department-specific prioritized list of heads/sub-heads and proportion of their expenditure assignments at various periods in the year provides main input into the FRE. (This aspect has been elaborated later in this chapter) These Department-specific requirements are stockpiled to provide a cumulative overall release plan spread over defined time horizon (12 months) and divided across periods. FRE model is structured in a way that it caters to emergent Expenditure requirements above and beyond what has been allocated or budgeted for the specific period by the FRE model to meet any exigent requirement under a specific head. The remaining Budget is rolled over to the remaining periods in the FRE time horizon. Similarly, the model provides insight into requirements for future adjustments in case of releases lower than the budgeted amounts in a certain period. Page 79
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