Financial Results Presentation
Market Outlook
FY2019 Industry outlook for our home markets
Key Indicators
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Malaysia
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GDP: 4.4% (2019F) vs 4.7% (2018)
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System loan: 4.7% (2019F) vs 5.6% (2018)
OPR: 2.75% (2019F) vs 3.25% (2018)
USD/MYR average: 4.14 (2019F) vs 4.11 (2018)
Inflation: 1.0% (2019F) vs 1.0% (2018)
Industry Outlook
• Growth supported by recovery in the mining
and agriculture sectors as well as stimulus to
domestic demand from rate cut and the
revival of major infrastructure projects and
Government development spending
Potential deposit competition could place
pressure on net interest margins (NIMS)
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GDP: 0.6% (2019F) vs 3.1% (2018)
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System loan: 4.3% (2019F) vs 5.3% (2018)
3M SIBOR: 1.70% (2019F) vs 1.89% (2018)
USD/SGD average: 1.37 (2019F) vs 1.36 (2018)
Singapore Inflation: 0.7% (2019F) vs 0.4% (2018)
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• Economic growth could be affected by
reduced pace of expansion in China and EU,
and effects from the US-China trade war
• Potentially slower loans growth arising from
cautious business sentiment
Indonesia
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GDP: 5.0% (2019F) vs 5.2% (2018)
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System loan: 10.5% (2019F) vs 11.8% (2018)
Reference Rate: 5.50% (2019F) vs 6.00% (2018)
USD/IDR average: 14,210 (2019F) vs 14,267 (2018)
Inflation average: 3.3% (2019F) vs 3.2% (2018)
• Economic growth to be supported by
consumption boosted by a minimum wage
increase, stable inflation rate and fiscal
stimulus programmes
• Loan growth to be supported by consumption
and working capital needs while liquidity
conditions could ease with foreign inflows
MaybankView entire presentation