Investor Presentaiton
Accumulated economic buffer to curb Covid-19 crisis (1/2)
2020 GDP in current
prices
US$
156bn
GDP per capita
dynamics, US$
2017
US$
2,640
+17%
Comments
In 2020, Ukraine's real GDP has declined by 4.0% which is
significantly lower than projected by the government
(-4.8%) and the IMF (-7.2%). In Q3 2021, the real GDP
increased by 2.7% which is slightly lower than in Q2 (5.7%)
In 2021, the key economic sector outputs fully returned
to upward trend. Agriculture demonstrates the best
performance (14.4% y-o-y in 2021) due to the record harvest
of crops, while construction (5.1% y-o-y in 2021) and
industrial production (1.1% y-o-y in 2021) grew at a lower
pace
Despite Covid-19, the private consumption remained
strong in Q3 2021, while the fixed capital accumulation is
lagging behind (after a longer contraction during Q1 2020 -
Q1 2021)
Key economic sectors output growth (y-o-y)1, %
US$
3,097
2018
+18%
40%
2019
US$
30%
3,663
20%
+2%
10%
0%
(10%)
US$
3,727
2020
(20%)
Jan
Agriculture
Construction
Jan
Jan-Mar
Jan-Jul
Jan-Sep
Jan-Nov
Jan-Mar
Jan-May
Jan-May
Jan-Jul
Jan-Sep
Jan-Nov
Industrial production
Jan
Jan-Mar
Jan-May
Jan-Jul
Jan-Sep
Jan-Nov
Jan
Jan-Mar
Jan-May
Jan-Jul
Jan-Sep
Jan-Nov
Real GDP growth (y-o-y), %
2.4% 2.5%
3.4% 3.2%
5.7%
3.5% 3.6% 3.4%
2.7%
miiiii
(4.0)%
(2.2)%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Q1 '21 Q2 '21 Q3 '21 2021E 2022 2023E
Sources State Statistics Service of Ukraine, IMF WEO Oct 2021 (forecast)
Component contribution into real GDP growth, p.p.
12.9%
7.4%
6.3% 5.9%
6.1%
14.4%
3.8%
2.8% 2.5%
1.8%
2.3% 2.0%
2.0% 1.7%
5.1%
1.2%
-1.1%
Private consumption
■Gross fixed capital accumulation
(0.9)%
(4.3)%
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020 Q1'21 Q2'21
Q3'21
Source State Statistics Service of Ukraine
2018
2019
2020
Source State Statistics Service of Ukraine
February 2022
2021
Notes
1
To the corresponding period of the previous year on a cumulative basis
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