Portfolio Overview & Capital Allocation
Georgia
Armenia
Source: IMF, WEO (October 2020)
Latvia
Moldova
Turkey
Source: Geostat
Real GDP fell by 5.8% in 9M20. According to rapid estimates, the full year
recession was -6.1%, with 4Q fall of -6.5% due to the 2nd lockdown
15,112
16,489 17,189 17,625
14,948
16,249
15,142
17,597 17,422
12,706
11,617
7.4%
6.4%
4.4%
4.8%
4.8%
5.1%
5.1%
3.6%
3.0%
2.9%
Nominal GDP, USD mn
2014
2015
2016
Medium-term growth to remain high
Comparative real GDP growth rates, % (2021-2025 average) | IMF
2017
ECONOMY HIT HARD, BUT EXPECTED TO BOUNCE BACK FAST
Gross domestic product
Diversified nominal GDP structure, 9M20
2018
Real GDP, YoY %
5.5
4.5
4.3
4.1
3.9
3.9
3.8
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.1
2.2
1.7
1.4
Romania
Czech Republic
Poland
Estonia
Ukraine
Lithuania
Russian
Federation
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Source: Geostat
2019
9M2019
9M2020
-5.8%
Source: Geostat
Financial and insurance
activities
5%
Transportation and storage
6%
Other
7%
Accommodation and food
service activities
Healthcare
5%
3%
Information and
communication
3%
Industry
15%
Education
5%
Public administration and
defence
8%
Construction
8%
Agriculture
9%
Monthly Economic Activity Estimate, y-o-y growth
Economic activity slowed down again since September due to the 2nd lockdown
4.4 5.5 5.6 6.5 7.5
4.0 4.6
5.6 6.7
2.0
|
2.2
5.6
3.5 4.6 6.0 5.1 4.7 5.0 6.1 5.8 5.2 5.7 6.4
5.1
3.8
2.2
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
-0.7
-2.7
-3.9
-5.5-5.3
-7.7
-7.7
-13.5
-16.6
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
71
-7.9
Real estate
12%
Trade
14%
GEORGIA
CAPITALView entire presentation