Odfjell SE - Chemical Tanker Industry Update
Introduction
Strategy update
ESG
Tank Terminals
Capital Allocation
The economic downturn in 2008-09 showed resilient demand for chemical tankers,
Fundamentals looks likely to support our markets in the event of a new downturn
Chemical tanker demand during 2008-2009 economic recession
Organics
Inorganics
Vegoils
Others
Chemical tanker demand development post Covid-19 pandemic
+3%
176
179
180
191
12
Outbreak
timing
O Pandemic struck Asia that accounts for 49% of seaborne imports of chemicals first
O Recovery well underway in Asia supporting seaborne trade of chemicals
O Regional differences are in general seen as supportive to seaborne trade
12
14
18
56
5557
51
55
53
25
27
GDP
recovery
27
25
25
96
86
88
81
Supply
growth
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source: ICIS, Odfjell
сл
5
2008/09 economic crisis was structural, 2020 crisis due to "self-imposed" lockdowns
2008/09 recovery was quicker in Asia than in the western hemisphere
O IMF forecast 2021 GDP growth of 5.8% driven by eased lockdowns and stimulus
The weak chemical tanker market post 2008/09 was supply driven, not demand driven
O Fleet growth in 2008 and 2009 was 15.4% and 14.9%, respectively
Fleet growth in 2020 and 2021 is estimated to 1.4% and 0.4%, respectivelyView entire presentation