Inspiring Tomorrow - Corporate Presentation
ETHANE FEEDSTOCK PRICE SENSITIVITIES
The ethane price formula is linked to PE prices
Illustrative Impact of Ethane Feedstock Prices on EBITDA (From Dec-27 Onwards)
Feedstock Price Sensitivities (2021A Production Volumes Adjusted for PP5 Ramp-up)
Current Spot Prices (March '22)
L10Y Avg. Prices ('12-'21)
Polyethylene Benchmark
Sensitized Benchmark Prices
($400/t)
($200/t)
($100/t)
+$0/t
+$100/t
+ $200/t
+$400/t
1,184
690
890
990
1,090
1,190
1,290
1,490
(NE Asia CFR, in $ / t)
1,133
1,050
500
250
Approximate Change in
Revenues & Costs
(in $m)
(250)
(350)
(500X500)
(600)
(750)
(1,050)
(850)
(1,000)
(1,150)
■Additional Revenue
Additional Costs
Approximate Adjusted
EBITDA Impact (in $m)
(1,400)
(1,000)
(850)
(750)
(600)
(500)
(100)
Adjusted EBITDA vs.
Reference
Reference Point (in $m)
(650)
(250)
(100)
+150
+250
+650
Point
1)
Change in benchmark prices applied on PE prices relative to 2021A prices
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Corporate Presentation | April 2022
777
بروج
Borouge
Commentary
■ Linear ethane to PE price relationship
to continue with a revised ethane
price floor and cap from December
2027 onwards (floor and cap to be
higher than current levels)
Change in revenue based on
PE production volumes times
change in benchmark price
Change in costs based on
ethane purchase volume times
revised ethane purchase price
based on post November 2027
price formula reset
All other costs are held
constant
Ethane feedstock cost increases
would be mitigated by higher
revenues if PE prices are higher than
reference 2021A prices
For the purposes of this analysis, we
are assuming PP prices don't change
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