Investor Presentation March 2024
Firm capacity additions unlikely to meet growing
demand in the mid-term
Estimated Methanol Industry Net Capacity Additions
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
New capacity additions
Besides G3, limited firm capacity addition
expected in the Atlantic market. Firm
additions outside the Atlantic include a 1.8
mmt plant in Malaysia in 2024 and plants in
Iran and China.
New capacity is needed to meet demand
growth; greenfield projects typically take 4 to
5 years from FID to commercial production
Mid-term methanol price outlook
Higher methanol prices and tight market
conditions supported by:
1.0
0.0
2022
2023
2024
US
Iran
2025
China
■ Others
2026
Source: OPIS (Chemical Market Analytics) World Analysis, Fall 2023 Update.
*Capacity calculated on a pro-rata basis depending on the actual start-up timing. Firm capacity additions not
sufficient to meet forecasted demand, operating rate improvements required.
15
Methanex | The Global Methanol Leader | Investor Presentation March 2024
2027
2028
Firm Capacity Addition
Growing methanol demand
•
Structural industry supply challenges
•
Supportive energy prices
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